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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    GEFS looks really nice for this.
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    UKMET looks like it's gonna be a nice hit for all of us.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Based on the huge changes from its 00z run it’s still figuring things out. Wouldnt be surprised to see more big shifts. Let’s reel this one in.
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Really close, boom potential is there. This is the storm the euro crushed us with on its 12z run 2-3 days ago. Glad to see it coming back.
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Man this is a proper winter. 26 degrees in dc on my walk to lunch.
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Oh jeez that's pretty --> moderate event incoming.
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Can you link that site again. I will bookmark this time.
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Euro AI still steady as ever. Now up to 19 runs without changing.
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    That’s significantly more promising than 12z. That vort over Missouri was in Ohio at 12z.
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Thursday Snow, mainly after 11am. High near 26. West wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Thursday Night Snow likely, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. West wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Canaan killing it this year
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It’s just such a stark difference when you toggle through all the past runs, even with the euro. For some reason it isn’t so jumpy run to run.
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I can't do this now but if you make a GIF on TT of the last 17 runs of Euro AI valid for 00z Monday the 20th, it's crazy consistent.
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Scrolling through the past Euro AI runs it has been remarkably consistent for the Sunday event, all the way back to 18z on Janaury 11th it has basically shown the same thing. It's been way more consistent than the GFS and even a bit more consistent than the regular Euro. I'm not saying that means it will be correct but it's interesting how little it's oscillated.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Still in the game. Wouldn't take a lot to turn hours 144-198 into a long duration overrunning event.
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    ICON suppresses the midweek storm but as @psuhoffman pointed out yesterday it wouldn't take much to get a better solution. That threat is definitely still on the table for us IMO.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    ICON is nice, accumulating daytime snow without temperature issues.
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I think we still may have a mid week threat. A lot can happen in 5-7 days in this pattern. I wouldn't write it off just yet, have to wait and see how the weekend plays out before we can really nail down what will be our threat window(s).
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I wouldn’t get too worked up about the GFS. It’s been pretty inconsistent.
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    That precip distribution with torching 850s doesn’t seem to make sense if we are talking about next weeks storm.
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Another 1-3 inch deal. We def take.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Not a lot of support for our storm, but hopefully the EPS comes around, still quite far out.
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Euro doesn't even have a storm at all still so hard to buy into anything yet beyond the Sunday deal.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It's a nice light event and it would be great to score our 3rd accumulating event of the winter before the Siberian express.
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    ICON 500mb panel at 120 is pretty sweet.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Another good week up in Canaan coming. The Thursday clipper is looking juicier.
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