Jump to content

SomeguyfromTakomaPark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    6,214

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Oh wow 6Z looks good for moco up to Baltimore. Let’s lock this in.
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah I dunno I’m not too worried. It might trend west but not far enough we get shut out I don’t think. Just want some accumulating.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    lol they were talking “full euro cave to rgem” in the New England forum and I was thinking we got rained on. I guess they were referencing further in the storms development. That looks fantastic for us, thanks for posting.
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    3K starts the snow around 7am and doesn’t wind it down til after 7pm, would be a nice full snowy day.
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    If the Euro AI puts out like 30 consecutive steadfast runs only to be clowned by the RGEM a few days before that model is going in the doghouse. But seriously I just can’t get on board with these juicier more amped GFS and RGEM when the euro is showing something else. I’ve seen this movie before.
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Was downtown today and the tidal basin and the Potomac were all frozen. Very cool. Been a while since I’ve seen that.
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again. That’s a perfect light event with upside to moderate. No temp issues. Followed by arctic. Somebody get me my finest pen to sign that!!!
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I think we’re going to get accumulating snow in dc metro. I don’t buy the RGEM/CMC complete shutout. I think it’s possible it trends away from us a little and we end up 1-2 but I don’t think we get shutout.
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah I mean I think in any marginal temp set up of course fall line and NW does better but I see no reason to punt this event yet. Even if it’s just an inch or two I’d love that before the Siberian express.
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It’s a mistake it’s like 38 degrees on the RGEM. RGEM shows like triple the QPF of the euro and also like a line of almost thunderstorms during event. It feels very outlier ish to me.
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Is everyone really giving up on an event the euro/gfs/3k are showing as cold and all snow for dc because of the icon and rgem? Of course it’s possible it plays out like that but I wouldn’t bet the house on those two models.
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Euro has 7 degrees in DC for 1pm Wed. That would be absurd.
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Good look for New Orleans.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Absolutely, I'd go 2-4 for DC metro and 3-6 north and west. With yesterday's 0.5 I'm now at 10.9 inches for the season. This Euro run would get me to climo basically. Considering we're not even halfway through winter and it's been really cold, this is all good. Enjoy it folks!!!
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Euro looks fantastic. Snow, no temperature issues. Toss the RGEM/GGEM.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Through 48 this not look at all GGEM like. Colder than previous runs, 25 at 18z Sunday in DC.
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    GEFS looks interesting for next Friday.
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Add the UK to the list of models that says don't worry about being too amped. Edit: It actually trended south from 6z.
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The probability of a 4 inch snow in DC went from 32%to 35% and the probability of a 1 inch snow went from 72% to 100% from 6z to 12z.
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I dunno, I still see like 15+ that give me accumulating snow. I don't have access to the members though to toggle with 6z but I'll roll the dice with that.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    They sure do! Even a tad better with the cold push toggling the 18z Sunday temps.
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Temps in DC from the big 3 globals for 18z Sunday GFS: 29 EURO: 30 CMC: 38
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It looks tantalizingly close for threat 2 still. Not outta the game by any means for that one.
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    GFS does not support the RGEM idea. RGEM has the low in PG county Sunday afternoon. The GFS has it around Lewes Delaware, and the Euro about 100 miles off Ocean city. I would lean more towards the right side of that envelope especially with the RGEM being past 48 hours.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    GFS looks really good for DC. Heavy Snow 15z Sunday freezing line has blown well through.
×
×
  • Create New...