Blend everything and it’s an easy 2-4. Not sure what the handwringing is about here, this was never supposed to last more than a few hours. Hard to get 4-6 inches that quick with a clipper type system in dc but still it’s not out the question.
Yeah, maybe, but whenever in reent memory we were waiting on a 10+ degree temp drop in order to get snow without any arctic air nearby, the warmer models are usually right.
Still too warm for immediate metro but N/W with elevation this could be something. But red flag is the Euro is about 5 degrees warmer than the RAP at 12z. Euro has DC at 39 and RAP at 34.
Kinda feels like we're outta time. Maybe the #epicpattern will surprise me but somehow I doubt it. We had a week of actual winter so I will give this year a minimum grade of B- regardless what else happens.
I have always been a runner but got a peloton due to some unforeseen circumstances that arose that prevented me from running on certain days. I was so skeptical at first but peloton cycling is incredibly efficient, you can get a phenomenal workout in 30 minutes. Now I split peloton cycling and running and I’m fitter than I ever was when I ran exclusively.
So in all seriousness, how is the pattern looking? I am seeing solidly positive 2m temp anamolies for Feb 14 on the 6z GEFS and the same thing from the 00z EPS at the end of its run. Are we still thinking this rolls into a better pattern for the second half of Feb or is it losing the progression altogether? I know the weeklies were still looking pretty good as of yesterday.
You can finally see the strong positive 2m temp anomalies drying up at the end of the 6z GEFS. Hopefully by the 2nd week of February we are tracking again.