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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I think you can see the back edge creeping east and as it does it’ll put the better banding over us for a period, but this whole thing is in a hurry. My 2-4 idea for dc is in trouble but maybe we can still get some good coverage.
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Radar looking a little pivoty. NW crew gonna keep the heavies. Hopefully we can snag some.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Snowing nicely, radar starting to look good for Maryland. This is our money period.
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    lol plz just relax and enjoy the snow
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Temp dropping, down to 35. Haven’t wasted a lotta QPF. Let’s see what we can do.
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Snow rain mix. Good progress with the front so far, seems to be near Frederick.
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Looking at the national radar it’s pretty close. Precip typically does move in and then out faster than modeled around here for whatever reason.
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Actually looks really close to the GFS depiction IMO.
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Everyone who is cliff jumping or will do so shortly let’s not destroy the thread with meltdowns. If you truly believe we’re cooked then there’s no reason to be posting anymore. For those who want to track, post observations, etc, carry on.
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah, I’m def in chips fall mode although I was always seeing this as a 2-4 deal with some potential upside. If we get shut out completely I’d be disappointed but I don’t see that. I still think the upside is possible, if we get that nice banding along the front it can drop 1-2 inch per hour rates.
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It will be interesting. It looks like the Reggie and GFS and Euro all give us the majority of our snow in a 3 hour ish period this afternoon.
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah this is a great run for all
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It is always wrong it seems but it sure does crank that coastal band over 95. That looks more like climo distribution of snow than the other models.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The euros not finished smacking that thing around just yet. It’ll be a miss southeast by 6Z tomorrow.
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Laser band like the 12z euro. We’re finally in the range where its opinion matters.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    My brother and I were playing ice hockey in queens in the courtyards between the row houses. That was insane.
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It’s def time to just let the chips fall, we know the general idea, we all know the local geography and climo. It’s going to snow let’s enjoy it.
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    No need to sweat euro qpf, nothing has really changed for dc metro. Just the typical run to run variance. This has always looked like a 2-4 ish event with some boom potential upside. I still think the northern burbs probably get their 3-6.
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Just coming back down to earth, coming into consensus with everything. I don’t think 6+ for the majority of Maryland was ever going to happen. Still a great run for pretty much all of us.
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Love how far south that 2-4 zone goes. Lotta wiggle room.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yes, why not?
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Don’t trust that the euro, or anything, will nail that skinny band placement, but I love seeing it hand wave the the temp issues….illustrates the boom potential even into the metros.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Probably too close in for the GEFS but it shifted the 4 inch snow probabilities southeastward.
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Maybe it's just cause things have been working for us this winter the vibes feel different. If we were looking at this scenario in other years I'd be doom posting about our sloppy inch. It'll be interesting to track the progress of the cold front in real time tomorrow. If I wake up tomorrow and it's 12 degrees in Pittsburgh we should be good, if it's 25 we're probably cooked.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It seems like guidance is finally converging now and it puts DC right on the edge. Big boom/bust potential with the forecasting but I think DC gets snow even in the bust scenario. I'd go 2-4 for DC proper now but I would not be surprised to see us end up with 1-2 or even 5-6.
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