Euro and GFS ops now both have precip for Erie/Cleveland. That was gonna be my target. I'd hate to drive hours out there with 2 young kids and have clouds. I'm hoping for either a clear cut sunny day forecast or clear clouds. 50/50 is gonna be a tough call.
Blend everything and it’s an easy 2-4. Not sure what the handwringing is about here, this was never supposed to last more than a few hours. Hard to get 4-6 inches that quick with a clipper type system in dc but still it’s not out the question.