SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Yeah I'm not seeing the current snow showers on the radar on any of the short range guidance, interesting to see if it hits the ground.
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Also two days in a row waking up to @CAPE calling people’s analysis lazy lol.
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What you’re doing isn’t better because you’re already unhappy 10 days before a threat. We enjoy tracking them, if you don’t enjoy that what are you doing? Just plan on rain and then move on to another activity.
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Imagine waking up at 7am and posting this lol
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All the ops this morning favor a cutter but we haven’t seen a cutter in quite some time. The precip distribution on the GEFS looks favorable for us around 10 days, heaviest just south of us/over us. EPS also doesn’t look very cutter like.
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Today is not the day to stand near a slanted roof. I saw a major avalanche from my classroom window.
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The EPS hasn't been amazing this season IMO. I'll take a blend of everything at 10 days and not even focus on one model suite.
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And the 12z euro AI is suppressed so maybe not a bad spot.
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That looks pretty good, not TOO skewed to the interior so is coastal plain folks are in the game still.
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I’m in for the PD threat and if that window doesn’t pan out I say let’s pop a massive SE ridge and hit 65 everyday in March.
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Isn’t it just gonna cold with some snow showers? Where is the potent winter storm?
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WxUSAF's weak ass frontal passage thing.
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Never bet on low qpf east west systems to make it over the mountains. Just be pleasantly surprised if it does. -
No big threats on the ensembles, I'm about 2 weeks away from rooting for warmth if nothing pops up. This winter is already a B- in my opinion, cold, snowpack, major winter storm.
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I’m fine with it being over if we don’t get anything else. We got a major winter storm and cold for a large part of winter. I’ll stick around watching until about Feb 15-20 then it’s time to get the cherry blossoms and daffodils loose in the bullpen.
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Man the short range models Are brutal for eastern NC, brutal dry slot in the coastal transfer. People thought they were getting a significant storm gonna get nothing.
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Is it just me or is this product virtually useless? Every time it gets posted in here it's like a crucial step behind the good models.
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I’m not sure what people are upset about, we just had a major winter storm.
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The only thing I would expect is dcps could’ve closed.
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Welp drove into dc what a mess, a lot of roads still snow packed. Most streets only one way, people parked in travel lanes. Dc with their usual very half assed plowing except this time it isn’t melting off on its own after 2 days like usual. Dcps probably shouldn’t be open.
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NAM looks like it’s gonna be NW again with the precip, I’m hoping to back into snow showers and wind.
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Yeah def major, the piles of ice make it look like we had 18 inches. This stuff doesn’t compact or melt in this weather at all.
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Maybe the GFS will be right LOLOL
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It’s kinda crazy how similar the ai gfs and ai euro look at 156, the surface maps are almost identical. I wonder if the days of purely physics based medium and long range modeling are numbered.
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So it looks like both the ai gfs and ai euro agree on a light to moderate event overnight Wednesday into Thursday. Having both AI’s in agreement is good.
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Well I’m almost done with my igloo. Gonna finish the dome up top and maybe wrap it a bit more if I have time. Went purely using common sense and in retrospect I should have angled the pieces earlier to make a shorter igloo with a more complete dome. But it’s cool I can stand in there and the kids are having a blast.
