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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    AI GFS sticking to its idea of no phase and a more southerly track.
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah but it's close enough for me at this range! Breezy and 15 inches of snow is almost as close to a blizzard as we get around here.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    ICON Blizzard
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Also if you use the beta version on the phone you have access to 6Z and 18z euros
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I think the trends on the Euro the last 2 runs will probably continue and you will be happy. The big NAO settling in this weekend should slow things down and promote phasing. The look at 144 on 6z euro with a deepening low off Hatteras moving basically north with fresh arctic air in place is the kinda thing that we don't see often and can really offer us a lot of QPF with fantastic ratios.
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    If it can turn the corner the way it’s showing on 6Z euro this could be a 1 to 2 foot type deal for our subforum. Then we can talk about wind too as the coastal deepens.
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The low is basically going just east of north last 2 panels of 6Z euro, LFG!!!!
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Beautiful look, delayed but not denied
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Kuchera is 16.5 for dc, you would think we could actually get some decent ratios here on the northern side of this.
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah would you think 3-6 more minimum
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I’d be really interested to see the next few frames of the euro. 500 map is intriguing I wonder if a secondary low pops.
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Euro has like 8+ inches in dc with the back edge still in Missouri. Yes please.
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    AI euro is a bit south with the goods but still a great storm for our sub forum.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    More often than not the GFS doesn’t lead the way with trends. Hopefully it’s not this time! If this trends to a dud for us with the gfs leading the way I’m gonna be very on tilt for rest of winter.
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    AI Ensembles did tighten up the northern edge a bit, perhaps it lost some of the more northerly solutions. But it did increase total qpf in dc.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Really beautiful look on the euro. That’s just a huge area of cold powder and my gut says that it’ll probably adjust a bit further north towards the AI’s. Finally we may have something that gets the whole region.
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Couldn’t be in a better spot really, it really seems like everything is trending to the ai models. And I for one welcome our machine overloads when they give us snow like this!
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    How are we looking for wind? Pretty strong high up there and pressure gradient, should be breezy you would think.
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Models going nuclear at this range is what we want of course. We know the 20-30 inch kuchie maps are for fun only this far out, but I’m starting to believe we get a major winter storm now.
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    CMC precip distribution looks similar to the AI’s
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    This is gonna be a gaudy clown map for dc geeeeze
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Pretty big run to run change on the GFS at 500, fair to say it isn’t really locked in yet.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I mean yes, of course the pattern looks to be very cold. But all these years of many many many 35 degree rainstorms has taught me to be wary until we are very close.
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    You’d be surprised how quickly this can all trend north and we end up with cold rain.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Just blend all guidance and our region is the cross hairs. We may finally get the region wide storm we’ve needed for about a decade.
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