SomeguyfromTakomaPark

I don’t see any reason to speak very definitively when you’re at approx 120 hours. People were very definitively saying our fail mode was suppression for the last storm not much beyond 120 hours. Things can and do change fast at this range. We’re still in the game.

lol you must be new here. We track threats in winter. Why would we take a break? This is fun for us even when they don’t trend the way we want. We take a big break from about March 15 to Nov 15 every year.

Busted way high on temps which I’m fine with, don’t wanna worry about bursting pipes.

Yeah I’ll be watching for changes til at minimum 12z tomorrow. Pretty loaded situation in terms of potential. Models are swinging around run to run still so I don’t discount the possibility of big changes.

Yeah it’s a miss for most to the east now, but not by that much. Also GEFS just trended the other way. It’s only Tuesday…

Anyone know if we can access this new Google ensemble model?

Roads are in terrible shape around here! Some roads that are normally two lanes of traffic have only one lane.

Looks really good, throwing precip back to the wv panhandle is a good sign.

I would LOVE 3-6 or 4-8 snow on snow in an arctic pattern with good ratios. But heck let’s get this to trend back to a blizzard, still possible.

I really don’t hate this. At 130 hours this is perfect.

Also we don’t need it all back in one run, many runs to go. We’ve seen this before, sniff something out, lose it, trend back to it.

Euro ai trended nw, it’s a hit. Prob a little better than 12z.

lol plz, we’ve seen storms shift 500 miles in 140 hours.

ICON is 100 miles to the right of going boom for us. Shift the trough that much and we’re good.

They’re all long shots. That’s why they don’t happen often lol. But that’s the fun of it! If you just look at the 144 panel of ai euro you’d be pumped. does anyone have the google ensemble for 12z?