SomeguyfromTakomaPark

Euro OP has a 1pm temp of 5 degrees in DC the day after the storm.

EURO AI says enjoy your cold and then rain.

I'm not totally punting this threat until 00z tonight. We've seen things trend way north/west when we needed them not to around this range many times over the years. There isn't a big arctic high crushing the flow south like our usual smoking cirrus NC get crushed events, so maybe we can actually get lucky.

So what’s our next window? Jan 25 for a potential SWFE?

It’s getting pretty tiresome, put me on reaper watch. I’m a few fizzled threats away from talking about cherry blossoms.

GFS shows a hit for us with a bigger storm along the coast, nothing else really supports it. We are praying for it to score a coup for once.

There do appear to be some h5 changes afoot on the Euro, I'll leave it to the experts and not try to extrapolate.

AI Euro not enthused

Just looking at the Euro since 12z yesterday it has trended closer to the coast by about 225 miles. We will need at least that much additional adjustment to score. I'm hoping for it all at once at 12z.

UK says no dice, escapes out to sea.

GEFS with a lot more members closer to the coast, so it's not just op.

It's closer, light snow over DC at 102.

Nice hit for us, as usual we need to wait for other support.

EURO ai gets some precip to us this weekend.

I've also wondered about this. It just seems like a really bad area for snow. Have to keep going to Canaan Valley.