SomeguyfromTakomaPark

cmc also bumped nw almost gives dc qpf, not giving up hope on a pack refresher.

That’s actually a pretty big jump NW, but I guess this model is even less useful than the GFS. But you’d think there are some big hits in there to get the mean near 5 inches in dc.

I think it’s gonna be cold and the long wave pattern is good and it’s our prime climo. Hopefully stuff pops up!

ICON with a nice bump NW, coastal areas back in play. Maybe we can back into some light snow at least?

It is look better this run, not sure if it would be enough to matter for us.

NAM digging that vort a bit more west lolololol, couldn’t help myself

That’s good, low single digits is pipe bursting weather. man this snowpack is bulletproof. Have we ever had a colder stretch after a storm than this?

If the models bring this back for us, even a 2-4 inch deal…would be awesome. It’s downright arctic out here we have bodies of water freezing, massive piles of snow and sleet everywhere. You have an absolute bullet proof glacier of snowpack. Adding even a touch of powder on that would be fantastic.

Guess this one is about cooked! Well pattern still looks pretty ripe going forward and no big torches imminent so I’m sure there will be more chances.

It’s so tantalizing to have a 978 that close to us when we’re in a massive outbreak…

The confluence backed north a little at hour 54, maybe a little less suppressive ?

This is what I liked about the EPS this morning, the 90 hour 6-he qpf map has beefier precip further west into southern va and western nc.

Basically you and I think are in the same boat to some extent, we need to hope the GFS is right and then bump it north 50-100 miles. Maybe that is a miracle I’m asking for lol.

Yeah I think if it looks the same tomorrow then we’re in the “we need a miracle” stage, but for now still in the game.

I think today is the day for me where we need to see the trends continue towards us. Hopefully we can get some at 12z! Still right at the edge of the time frame where we can get a decent shift north on the guidance.