SomeguyfromTakomaPark

I think if the Euro AI has the right idea (big if of course) we are going to have crashing 850s and really good ratios for the CCB. Surface temps will cooperate with that storm position in February.

Damn that looks fantastic. Soooo hard not to get roped in with these looks lol. Oh well may as well push all the chips in because this is probably our last big chance anyway. If it fails we can track the nice sustained warm up for spring.

Yeah of course that could be the final outcome, but it’s just not to see the ops advertising that.

One thing I will note is the that right now nothing is showing our typical miller b fail scenario, the more dud runs are south, not north, which I think is good. If the models were showing us getting skipped north every other run I’d be mad nervous.

Such a good run…..this is gonna be stressful to watch for the next few days. It will good to keep in mind miller B crush job DC to BOS isn’t common and there is a chance we end up on the outside looking in. That said, let’s keep this right where it is LFG!!!!!

Ridiculous CCB action on euro ai, basically perfection for us. Just need this to hold for a few days.

Perhaps but it was the first to get it sort of right and then the first to get it all the way right.

Oh my! That’s a wild ensemble mean.

Yeah I’m not talking about the specifics like that, I’m talking about the general Synoptics of where the storm would be.

Euro ai locked on to what would basically be the final solution for yesterdays event around 108 hours, but it had the general idea right of a storm tracking to our south well before that, and well before the other models.

I thought this model was generally doing pretty well, rarely see it posted.

Yeah with lasts night storm at this range the euro ai basically had the idea right while the euro op had a major blizzard for New England which of course didn’t happen. Euro ai gets the Synoptics right and then as we get closer the other models refine the forecast.

Classic @Heisyteases us with a euro is gonna join the party then vanished.

Euro ai has a decent amount of rain for us through the end of its run. Maybe we can starting denting the drought on the way towards spring.

Let’s juice this thing up at a paste bomb at 33 degrees. Would be fun as hell. Hopefully the euro and euro ai keep trending.