SomeguyfromTakomaPark

Euro looks fantastic with the front end thump which is the "easy" part for us typically which is great to see. I don't get expect the details of the phasing/potential coastal influence to be figured out til about Friday morning.

Yeah it will, the good thing is even in a less phasey solution we're most likely gonna snow. Very likely we get at least a moderate hit. The extra coastal stuff will take more time to be resolved.

EURO AI basically noise level changes, still a great MSLP track for us and potential upside if it can slow down and get some coastal influence.

GEFS through 90 looks like it would be less suppressive than the op, baja low ejecting faster and less confluence out front.

yeah we get fantastic overrunning and a tad bit of coastal....if we can get that to capture/tuck that's the big dog scenario.

CMC is fantastic but it misses the full phase/tuck scenario. But for the record I would sign for the CMC in a heartbeat.

AI GFS sticking to its idea of no phase and a more southerly track.

Yeah but it's close enough for me at this range! Breezy and 15 inches of snow is almost as close to a blizzard as we get around here.

ICON Blizzard

Also if you use the beta version on the phone you have access to 6Z and 18z euros

I think the trends on the Euro the last 2 runs will probably continue and you will be happy. The big NAO settling in this weekend should slow things down and promote phasing. The look at 144 on 6z euro with a deepening low off Hatteras moving basically north with fresh arctic air in place is the kinda thing that we don't see often and can really offer us a lot of QPF with fantastic ratios.

If it can turn the corner the way it’s showing on 6Z euro this could be a 1 to 2 foot type deal for our subforum. Then we can talk about wind too as the coastal deepens.

The low is basically going just east of north last 2 panels of 6Z euro, LFG!!!!

Beautiful look, delayed but not denied

Kuchera is 16.5 for dc, you would think we could actually get some decent ratios here on the northern side of this.