SomeguyfromTakomaPark

It can be, it looks similar to the euro.

The radar is well out in front of where the hrrr and nam thinks it should be. Does this matter?

NAM adjusting south with the rain snow line at hour 12 in the Ohio valley.

Man we are gonna get like 1 inch qpf as sleet/freezing rain according to the HRRR, when’s the last time that happened?

@Nomzis feeling good about sticking to 4-8 and waiting to go big, right?!?!

Euro looks fantastic again for the metros, big pre flip thump. Love to see it.

Meh. You just have to not believe the big storms 3-5 days out. We’ve been down this road so many times in the last few years. But I’ll take any further discussion to banter. Euro is running!

Who knows, as we speak under full sunshine it is 17 degrees in MBY. That’s usually like the lowest temp we see in a given winter. Pretty anomalous setup, who knows, maybe will confuse the models a bit.

It’s interesting how we frame this. “We bled”. Nothing actually happened, the atmosphere was always going to do what it was going to do. If you chose to believe that the computer simulated storms were real then this may seem like a bust, but many wise posters on here said be very wary of this setup and wait til Friday to believe a big snowstorm. also we have most models showing anywhere from 4-10 inches of snow for dc, then sleet, and maybe frza. This will likely be high impact winter storm. Even just 4 inches of snow and a bunch of sleet will almost verify the NWS forecast amounts.

Waited til 24 hours out to fold like a cheap suit. This thing gets slapped around by the real models so often it’s really not worth looking at. If it was from another country we’d probably treat it like the JMA. At any rate, even with the bad 850 low location we can still get a good thump. Just need it to come in hot and heavy.

Unmet would be a big disruptive event, 6-10 of snow tons of sleet then frz.

UK is a nice thump, about 0.7 pre flip for dc.

14 degrees in takoma park. Unbelievable it’s 14 degrees at almost lunch time and we’re talking about mixed precip lol.

It is amazing how early last week everyone told us suppression was our main concern. Weenies now melting down in the ny thread. First it was the SE, then us, then NYC.

Weenies gonna weenie. Tomorrow gonna be an awesome winter storm let’s just enjoy it!