JenkinsJinkies
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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
JenkinsJinkies replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Might’ve spoken too soon -
Wow, 18z and pretty much every global model is still giving us double digits.
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Looks like GFS and ICON are outliers on opposite ends of the spectrum.
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I mean rug pull chances are declining and will accelerate their decline if nothing significantly changes between now and tomorrow.
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A window we’re about to exit
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Is it still minimal or are we losing a more significant amount of snow to it?
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About 14” for DC proper.
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ICON is too but in a different extreme.
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Yeah, my gut was telling me to wait until tomorrow before boarding the hype train in earnest.
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So what would your “we’re in the clear” point be when it comes to model runs not showing that?
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So if the 18z runs do not look like ICON how would that reduce the likelihood of a rug pull?
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A foot before mixing! If it even mixes.
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Would you say a 2016 level event is still on the table? (Or given ENSO 1996)
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Euro seems to look solid for the metros.
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It is, you can see the mix line in Delaware. Different purples.
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They may be predicting a potential rug pull scenario. Though time is running out to model it.
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Looks like mixing will be close to DCA and probably minimal?
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If Dr. No is still like this after the next few runs...
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Mixing still seems to be kept at a minimum for the metros.
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If they're smart about it they're waiting until tomorrow.
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I mean something this big is probably a one and done, any further snow events will be smaller.
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I guess they walked back the mixing?
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Mix line is a little too close for comfort.
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That’s the start of the critical window. If it holds for the next 12 hours then we’re in business.
