JenkinsJinkies
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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies
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https://x.com/webberweather/status/2002759593269792869?s=46
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Watch the flood gates open when the Niña ends like in 2018.
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Until 18z
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Too warm as in marginally or too warm as in "the only 20s on the map are the amount of degrees above normal it is"?
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Which in spite of everything nobody is using... I'm guessing that's the reason the cold is still in Canada and not Mongolia?
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ENSO thread has effectively cancelled the cold shots for the last few days of the month and are advertising January to play out like it did in 2020 and 2023.
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Last time DCA got more than an inch in December the following March had measurable snow.
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ENSO thread has officially entered last rites overnight.
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ENSO thread says -NAO talk is jumping the gun and don’t expect any significant cold shots at the very end of the month…
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There's a digital snow thread.
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https://x.com/webberweather Then there's the ENSO thread
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Question is will the tune change 2 weeks from now or will forecasters string us along with "not too late" pieces until it's February and we're staring down a week of 70s?
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ENSO thread has transitioned to last rites, Philly is transitioning to last rites, Our med/long range thread is transitioning to last rites, NYC is hanging by a thread, NE isn't far behind.
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Honestly there's no chance until next month based off of what I've been seeing.
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I mean January is 2 weeks away, prime climo window starts in 4 weeks. Could it turn around by then and the models won't pick up on it until it's closer?
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Will this age like wine or milk? https://x.com/capitalweather/status/2001702501557374997?s=46
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In January yes, February not so much.
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I'm not expecting it but on the other hand we're closing in on 30 years so I wouldn't be shocked if this is the time the stars finally align.
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95-96 was a Niña
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The entire ENSO thread is a tug of war between those extremes.
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2025-2026 ENSO
JenkinsJinkies replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I have a feeling that Webb is going to ride the torch wave until the very end. -
With the back and forth between last rites and "just wait it out" in the ENSO thread you'd expect to see some cliff jumping here.
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It is also more than 2 weeks until the start of January.
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The last time DCA got a comparable amount of December snow it wasn’t shut out for the remainder of the season once January rolled around.
