JenkinsJinkies
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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies
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Ready for another white knuckle tracking season.
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And a trackable event.
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Not by early December standards.
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SE trend is giving us the goods this time. Imagine February where a 2/19-20 tier storm is set to hit the Erie to Buffalo area but then it starts ticking further south and east with each successive run.
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That’s way more snow than the Carolinas get these days.
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I wonder if the “2nd thread rule” will apply this year?
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Will this remain the odd one out or will all the other models cave to this over the next 40 hours?
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If this verifies for the 3rd then statistically there'll be more to come throughout the season.
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That's what an elevation difference will do to you.
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I mean if PSU gets a few inches in the first week of Dec then that usually means there'll be ample activity in that season. At the very least a dead ratter is off the table.
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Is it within 5 days or within 3 days where the odds of the snow going poof falls off a cliff?
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How long until the weenies reach the "Bernie math" phase?
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Freezing rain
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I’ve seen rug pulls happen even closer to the event than 3 days before.
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If we get the warm pattern beyond the 10th it could very well entrench itself for the remainder of the season.
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Just wait until the panic room thread goes live.
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That's the feel over in the enso thread.
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I mean are they wrong through (at least with December)? We've seen time and time again that when a SER establishes itself it takes ~3 weeks to undo the damage and have a winter weather chance again.
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ENSO thread is doing last rites for December. In fact they’re doing last rites for here on out.
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I said loads of times, not every time.
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All those times were cold decembers that changed to torches in january that persisted for the remainder of the season.
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Also there have been loads of times where once a crap pattern is established it persists for the remainder of winter.
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I mean Christmas 2015 was in the 70s and we all know what happened a month later.
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I’m anticipating a busy panic room this year.
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I've seen a couple of those and don't know why. We haven't really had any blowtorches recently and the last couple weeks had 2-3 mornings that were below freezing.
