I’ve seen this song and dance before. Once a ridge shows up to spoil our precip it’s here to stay. It goes hand in hand with walkbacks begetting further walkbacks.
Once again the models give us a huge rain event only to walk it back to practically nothing north of Richmond. What was once a 5 inch even is now an event where we’ll be lucky to get half an inch. I’m willing to bet this is just the start and the walk backs will continue throughout the next two days.
When is it going to be our turn?
That’s assuming this is the time we finally have the floodgates open after the Niña breaks instead of the dry pattern injecting steroids against all logic.
I wonder what the conditions would have to be where one can reliability say that 2003/2010/2016 will never happen again even if you live in Boston and if you want that level of snow again you’ll have to move north AND up in elevation.
Looking at the ENSO thread that east pacific blob that’s usually given us epic winters tried to form and failed. There is talk that we may get a Niña pattern that has the PNW get pounded by cold and snow while the rest of the country roasts.
We’re going to pay for it in October. Be it a 90+ in the first week, a week of mid/upper 80s highs mid month, an 80+ day around Halloween, or a combination of these. We always pay for early met fall cool spells.