This could be a legit one. Barring a Friday/Saturday rug pull or it fails the day of the event. We can’t underestimate the “day of” fails, they’ve been happening a lot thaws last few winters.
We were saved from topping the futility chart by a March snow. Even if it didn’t happen most of us broke an inch.
In 22-23 we were nowhere near an inch and there was zero chance of March “saving” us.