JenkinsJinkies

So it’s going to shoot into the 70s that week. Got it.

I expect it to be near the lower ends in each band. 3-5 for the metros <1 for Richmond 40-45 for Mt. PSU

Tomorrow is the critical day 10 mark.

Tropical tidbits isn’t a wall to wall goose egg anymore either

So in two weeks the the forecast will suddenly and epically collapse, got it.

Here's my preliminary snow prediction for DC. 3-5 inches, possibly from a single event. Then a week later it's in the 60s for about 5 days in a row.

I heard that, overall, this part of the country is supposed to get wetter.

I wonder if this is a Niña induced blip or if another switch flipped and now it’s going to start raining less like how it’s now snowing less?

This is the time of year when it’s just a nuisance. If we had this pattern 6 months ago on the other hand…

Didn't say it was going to be a good winter.

Sun angle, things crisp faster in the warmer months.

Get used to the cold west coast/warm east coast setup. That's the norm in winters with the current analogs.

Looking at tropical tidbits there likely wont be any real chance for rain until around Halloween.

Makes me wonder if the Niña will cancel out and we’ll be neutral?

You underestimate the number of weenies in denial.

I expect this year’s panic room thread to be a busy one.

I wrote off this winter and next winter months ago.

The previous Nina was over for months by late April 2023 yet the dryness persisted.

Has anyone noticed that, with the exception of the winter and spring of this year, every time it looks like the dry pattern is going to change it doesn't? Last year there was a huge rain event in late April that appeared on models to usher in a wetter pattern, but instead it was followed by nothing at all and a super dry May erased any improvement. A similar thing happened last fall and most recently the rain stretch 2-3 weeks ago. Did we swap climates with California sometime in the winter of 22-23?

Looking at tropical tidbits, there might not be any more rain this month.

I wonder if 2003, 2009/10, and 2016 masked that to the untrained observer?

I hope everyone liked the 10-12 days of measurable rain because per the weather forecasting services there might not be any more for more than 2 weeks.

Oktoberfest and Halloween discussions welcome

It's actually going to feel like fall this time around.

Clippers get weakened by the Appalachians anyway.