JenkinsJinkies
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Everything posted by JenkinsJinkies
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I have this theory, post 2016 every third winter has been a snowless torch fest. 16-17, 19-20, 22-23 The latter two had totals less than an inch for the 95 corridor. This upcoming winter will test the theory to see if it holds.
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Rain has been a gradient, almost all of AAco is on the losing side .
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There’s talk of rain next weekend, anything supporting it?
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When is the next batch coming?
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Flukes gonna fluke. This time will be our time to score, the walkbacks are a mirage.
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Didn't stop the cliff jumpers though.
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The other thread is calling today a dud. I saw through it though, it's not over yet.
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No, it's just that the stuff showing the rain being a dud has no legs.
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Nah we're getting rain, the drier models have fluke written all over it. This is just winter PTSD clouding judgement.
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Could the WAR kill our storm chances tonight?
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What are the chances the severe drought area shrinks on next week's map?
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This will most likely be a 6pm start for the event.
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There could be some rouge cells later in the afternoon in the metros.
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Google says 20% chance of rain from 1-3.
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Nah the dry pattern is about to break, GFS does flukes all the time.
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For DC Google says 40% chance of thunderstorms between 5-6.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2025 Obs/Discussion
JenkinsJinkies replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
That had like a 10% chance of verifying… -
This has blip written all over it, like one off fluke.
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This is the time of year when cold fronts no longer mean frost advisories.
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It’s a blip, it’ll be gone by the next model run. Snow would’ve collapsed by now.
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Yesterday was the first 8pm sunset for Baltimore, sunsets will be after 8pm until August 16th
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With snow there are more things that can go wrong that don’t apply this time of year.
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It's probably gonna break apart before it reaches me though.
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Will hit a brick wall somewhere near Frederick.
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The "is it ever going to rain again?" discussion.
JenkinsJinkies replied to JenkinsJinkies's topic in Mid Atlantic
The last time this map was posted the region was in some level of green. Stuff in the forecast late next week is already fizzling out… Someone needs to do a deep dive as to what’s causing this and what we need to look for in long range to tell when this will end.
