Powerball

You got access to models that we don't?

That's not quite how it works, lol...

The *ONLY drawback to 2013-2014 was that Detroit still failed to get a big dog snowstorm, although it did finally happen in February 2015. That said, another highlight to the 2013-2014 winter was the surprise TSSN to freezing rain/ice event on 2/20/14 that was originally supposed to be a cold rain (temps maxed out at 35*F). It only further solidified the already deep snowpack.

Hmmm, it certainly seem as though they don't make winters like 1977-1978 any more, where places like Dallas, Chicago *AND* Boston all have a stellar season.

Yes.

Maybe that dust storm will make for a nice sunset here.

It's been Sunny here since Monday following last weekend's Winter Storm. I'll take this type of zzzzz any day in January. And it looks to continue through at least Sunday. Even the wrap around cloud cover from the ULL is projected to miss us just to the NE.

Yes to the bolded. With the dominant wind out of the NW in the winter time over the warm lake water, you're going to have persistent advection of moisture inland that's enough to ensure the reproduction and maintenance of clouds (though not necessarily precip) with just a wee bit of rising air. Unless you get a strong high pressure system behind a major storm to produce enough sinking air to overwhelm the moisture advection off the lake, or an offshore wind flow, you're shit out of luck if you want to see much sun. That is (in part) why I'm down south now, lol.

As someone who grew up in the Midwest and has lived in the South for several years, I don't find the level of friendliness or rudeness to be different at all. There are cultural differences though that may give some credence to perceptions people have. While it is true that Southerners tend to be more outgoing and Midwesterners tend to be more reserved, Southerners can be passive-aggressive in their own way just like Midwesterners.

Snow has tapered off, and only left a dusting in isolated patches on the grass and rooftops.

It is ripping here with big fat flakes. No accumulation though (so far).

Higher surface temps/dewpoints. Also, the lighter precipitation rates struggle to sufficiently cool the column down to the surface.

Welp, never mind.

It seems Dallas actually has a fair shot at seeing a bigger snowstorm this Sunday than most of you have seen so far this season...

FWIW, I think those amounts are going to end up being low on the western part of your map.

I'm not even concerned about thermals. It's the storm's track and intensity I'm more worried about. Gonna need the trough to dig further than what the GFS shows, and for it to come through with at least a neutral tilt for any appreciable snows in the heart of DFW. With the dry air advecting in from the NE gradient around the arctic high, there's going to be a sharper northward cut off than the models are suggesting. The 00z GGEM's depiction was just about the best case scenario.

12z GFS has gone back towards a more suppressed look.

As good as things are looking, with the shortwave still way out in the middle of the ocean and several days out, it's best to keep expectations in check. If anything, I'm still worried about a miss just to the south. The 06z model runs and 12z NAM were definitely a step backwards. But yes, this has the potential to be a big one. Probably as good of a setup as you can get for North/Central TX.

Would definitely love to see the next few frames on the DGEX right now, for personal reasons.

It would be funny and sad if I somehow got more snow out of this storm than Chicago...

GHD 2011 was the last time there was a major snowstorm that held serve for an entire week.

I would definitely have to plan a trip home if the 00z GGEM happened on Christmas day. About as perfect of a blizzard setup for Detroit as you can get.

Although Philadelphia only saw a general 3-6", it was literally puking snow during that front-end thump (lasted about 2 hours). Cotton ball sized flakes too.

No plans on moving back to Michigan. I'll probably be in Texas for a little bit, then move someplace else for a different experience. The 2nd biggest perk for me with WFH is that you don't have to anchor yourself down to any one location.

Thanks! It was really luck (right place, right time). I had fully expected to be out of work for several months or longer.