Powerball

Here we go... https://x.com/NWSSPC/status/1853481628875809191?t=1dheqYTKF1zbmnQsj1x5rw&s=19

The more I look over everything, today is feeling like a somewhat underhyped setup...

Tomorrow's record high for DFW is 91*F, which is also the forecast high.

The only thing that could throw a wrench into things would be the potential formation and recurving of a typhoon in the western Pacific. There'a a decent signal for that (although not a lock just yet) too.

As things stand now, October is on track for the warmest on record for DFW... Also, crazy as it might be, DFW may have a legit shot at finishing the month with no precip (obviously also being the driest on record).

Getting walloped right now with a severe t'storm. Power went out briefly then popped back on for now, and had some large hail for a brief moment.

DFW set a record maximum low of 79*F yesterday.

Interesting tidbit from FWD this morning... All available perfect-prog guidance projects 500mb temperatures above the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex will rise above -1C (into the 30s in Fahrenheit) on Friday. The NAM has 500mb temperatures above freezing! This isn`t just near-record for September but would challenge the all-time record high 500mb temperature for our local weather balloons (1950 to present), which is -0.5C from July 1951.

With August 2024 having come to a close, 2024 was the 16th hottest Summer on record for DFW with an average temp of 86.0°F and the 10th hottest August on record with an average temp of 88.9°F. While not nearly on the level of 2023, 1998, 1980 or 2011 hot, it was still up there with 1999, 2012 and 2018 in terms of overall intensity as well as 2.1°F above average. August 2024 did tie with August 2010 for the 16th driest on record as well (with only 0.41" of precip).

Given some folks are still without power and clean up is still ongoing from the storms a few days ago, that was probably for the best.

Besides everything stated above, another reason why Feb. 2015 isn't brought up as much is because perisistent extreme cold isn't nearly as pleasant to reminsce about as temps in the 70s & 80s

Part of the reason for that, if we're getting technical, is because the actual Nina transition has failed to happen thus far. We're still officially in a neutral ENSO state as the transition has been much slower than originally predicted.

I see the Detroit area got rocked (DTW recorded a 76 MPH gust). I talked to my mom and she said there are down branches everywhere.

This Summer is likely on track to be a top 20 warmest for DFW (in addition to this being a top 10 hottest August). Also, a large part of North Texas is now under moderate drought conditions. I know after 2022 and 2023, this year feels milquetoast in comparison (especially with the mild July). But yeah, statistically, the records will reflect it was another hot one with an impressve turnaround on both the precipitation (especially with the surplus we had as of early June) and temp front... Can't help but wonder how much worse it would have been without the unusually early start to the season we had for global tropical activity in the first half of July.

Today marks the 14th 100°F+ day of the year for DFW. In all likelihood, it's the start of a decent streak.

The summer hasn't been all that hot (relative to average) thus far, but if the 00z GFS is to believe, a brutal 2nd half of August will definitely help to make up for it.

The 100s are officially back, as DFW achieved an intra-hour high of 100*F today (9th for the year so far). Could potentially be looking at a 7+ day streak too.

Never said it was, because in fact June was actually solidly to well-above normal across much of the country. The Typhoon though is definitely helping to reinforce, for the short/medium-term, the ongoing pattern with Western Ridging and Central/Eastern Troughing that has been in place for much of July as we enter the climatologically hottest part of the year, which is really killing any shot of those bullish Summer forecasts verifying at this point (although I will caveat this by saying there's still the last 2/3rds of August to get through).

There's still next Summer though, which will likely end up being the more torchy one this Summer was originally projected to be (if historic 2nd year Nina climatology is any indication).

A much slower than expected transition to a La Nina ENSO state and the ongoing Super Typhoon in the West Pacific has definitely screwed up what were originally the expectations for this Summer.

Stratiform rain (not even thunder) and temps in the 70s at 1pm in late July for North Texas is surreal...

Made it to 101*F at DFW today, hottest day of the year (and 8th 100*F+ day) thus far...

Numerous major cities this season have been paralyzed by severe t'storms & tropical systems in what has been a historically exceptional, deadly and costly year for extreme weather. Menawhile, to WestMichigan's point, you're busy in here going: "nO 8-9, mE 90!!! UGgA bUgGa!!!"

Mother Nature just says she's going bullseye for all the big cities this year.