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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. 18z NAM shifted NW, lookimg a lot like the 12z GFS and last night's EURO. Also, update from FWD...
  2. Frankie has spoken! https://x.com/frankiemacd/status/1876364861032341522?t=sK9mv32YXQL2TqaV_0vAfw&s=19
  3. The bigget threat, power outage-wise, will be poles and limbs weighed down from the plastering of snow if it ends up having a high water content.
  4. Bear in mind, that is the mean of 50 different alternative outputs from the ECMWF model (not just the OP or operational model). A few duds mixed in there, but also numerous 10"+ big dogs too. The fact that it has been consistently showing a 6-8" mean for Dallas is pretty exceptional, especially given EURO Ensembles have a reputation of being more reliable than the Emsembles for the other models.
  5. EURO Ensembles look their most impressive yet, although like the GEFS they did shift a bit NW.
  6. That's because not everyone in this sub got anything meaningful from this Winter Storm...
  7. Take it with a tiny grain of salt (CBS in San Antonio): https://x.com/RDR8ER/status/1876269941646831953?t=3OHCNog_-wVj0wtiFQll0w&s=19
  8. I bet it feels good to be able to finally say that so late into a season...
  9. Ensembles remain remarkably consistent, especially the EURO, with both placement and mean totals.
  10. The Blizzard Warning has been expanded to include all of the KC metro area...
  11. For what little it's worth, the EURO ensembles has a fairly widespread 6-8" mean for North Texas, which is impressive at face value. The GEFS and CMCE aren't bad-looking either.
  12. At best, *IF* everything aligns perfectly, it's going to be a Southern Plains and maybe Mid-Mississippi / Lower Ohio Valley special. With the blocking in the Atlantic and how progressive the trough will be, I don't think it's going to come together with meaningful impact for the majority of this subforum. It's more likely that it ends up being a strung out cold rainstorm for the Gulf Coast.
  13. It's not entirely clown map shenanigans, as the potential is definitely there synoptically. But it's a true "thread the needle" setup.
  14. It would be funny if Dallas sees a 6"+ snowstorm before Chicago or Detroit. Still think it's a longshot at best though...
  15. I'm sure both Lions and Vikings fans appreciate y'all losing to the Commanders though...
  16. Where are you getting the "Macomb" and "Monroe" numbers from? I'm assuming the Lake Orion and Wyandotte numbers are measurements from you and michsnowfreak...
  17. 18-20" of snow in STL? Easy toss....
  18. I'd love nothing more than to send all of the cold & snowstorm potential y'alls way this weekend and next week. The OK/TX folks can barely contain themselves over the model-depicted cold blast and snowstorm teases, and I hate to see it...
  19. Not only will this December be a top 3 warmest for DFW (surprising considering how milquetoast the month started and no real extreme warmth), it should also be good enough for DFW to tie the warmest yeard on record with average temperature of 69.8*F (the previous record was set in 2017). EDIT: Should also add: All top 5 of the warmest years on record will now have been since 2010 years (2024, 2017, 2023, 2016 and 2012).
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