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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. It appears only 3.6" fell at DTW. Definitely a bit of a underperformer, but perspective is key. It's the best widespread snow event y'all have seen all season...
  2. BTW, what happened with the social media rumor that Jim Cantore would be in Detroit? I did check Fox Weather as well, and they're only in Grand Rapids, KC and Chicago...
  3. It's definitely shaping up to be your type of pattern. Even if the snow amounts with any one storm don't end up being significant, it should be enough to build deep-ish snowcover with snow on top of snow. Congrats!
  4. Isn't that a model projection for the next 10 days? The tweet was an image of temperature departures in January...
  5. Lol at the US South standing out as the cool spot...
  6. It was Mike Seidel who came to town then...
  7. It never rains in Southern California either...
  8. I double checked IEM to be certain, and 1/12/24 was *NOT* a warning. 3/3/23 was the one that had a late upgrade to a Warning, and DTX came pretty darn close to pulling the trigger on a Blizzard Warning before mixing occurred (it was *THAT* close to being a biggie).
  9. There's going to be hard limit on the NW extent of this storm, given the overall flat/progressive pattern aloft. That said, the impressive baroclinic zone in place will support some nice frontogenesis banding in the cold sector. Feb. 2007 and Dec. 2000 might be good analogs...
  10. The models verbatim don't look all that promising right now, but with the impressive baroclinic zone that's appearing to set up, conditions would be ripe for a major winter storm in this subforum (and no, I'm not talking about the ice storm thread) at some point in the next couple of weeks with just a bit of buckling in the upper level pattern. Meanwhile, I'm loving the 80s and near-record highs we're going to have all week!
  11. Officially at the airport, the total was 8" That said, those 1895 records are apparently questionable at best per a tweet from the NWS New Orleans. Only thing we know for certain is this was their largest snowstorm in over 125 years (a lifetime). https://x.com/NWSNewOrleans/status/1881916506923213249?t=-9yQBzSyzobIFFrpxrquzw&s=19
  12. One thing I'm very skeptical about though are the QPF numbers that have been confirmed so far (NOLA airport supposedly only measured 0.24"). That said, an average snow ratio of ~12:1 does seem about right judging from the nature of the snow, which is still impressive for a daytime snowfall at that latitude... https://x.com/NWSNewOrleans/status/1881921441308021174?t=83B6o8UBiKdzgjS-XAwLew&s=19
  13. Pretty sure there's quite a bit of slant sticking going on (as well as people measuring drifts), but even accounting for that, it's still quite exceptional for that latitude.
  14. https://x.com/NWSNewOrleans/status/1881888699698561085?t=8ZtLrF-7uVxyN8XkDSAe_A&s=19
  15. A company from Indiana actually will make (at least) a good $168K from this... https://www.wwltv.com/article/weather/weather-impact/new-orleans-hires-snow-plows-from-indiana-company-new-orleans-snow/289-f308c479-6a99-4338-bb9e-d1e0e76d90db
  16. Believe it or not, there are still parts of N. Texas with trace snow amounts on the ground from the last storm. Part of it was because of glacier effect. Had so much sleet mixing in with the snow, and then a ton of rain got absorbed into the snowpack (with temps around 33*F - 34*F) before the inevitable flash freeze.
  17. And to the point you're making about nuances, ASOS for example can't tell whether a thunderstorm that's not yet showing up on radar, or producing precipitation, will have imminent impacts on the airport directly or its airspace. I'm also willing to bet the average ATC doesn't care enough (or know) about the finer details of convective development to confidently make that determination. They certainly didn't with that Southern Airways flight in 1977.
  18. Mobile should break its all-time record of 6" (also from the same 1895 storm that is NOLA's biggest) shortly... https://x.com/NWSMobile/status/1881799913878835288?t=_ELP-DCULleDFK9QPb3Rlg&s=19
  19. https://x.com/DylanFedericoWX/status/1881793364091375653?t=VbbHl7o7yx5V0JCoGbYouA&s=19
  20. NOLA officially broke its daily snowfall record of 4", so far... EDIT: That was as of 12pm CT.
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