Powerball

https://x.com/DFWXWatcher/status/1794679006307967050?t=9eheTZpcGF1gqr7qtejfyw&s=19 https://x.com/wfaaweather/status/1794675968977637480?t=xtY0SiJEcQ5RdU_dcLCRWg&s=19

A non-severe MCS just blew in from the SW out of the Big Country. Getting some pretty impressive wake winds with it. EDIT: Crazy enough, this season doesn't cease to surprise. Now getting widespread non-thunderstorm gusts over 60 MPH.

^^^The event did underperform expectations for sure, but I also wouldn't call it a total bust, especially since there was an uptick in activity after this post.

That said, the timing couldn't have been worse, because this cell also passed over a rural area that's a major recreational destination for DFW residents (Lake Ray Roberts), and on a hot holiday weekend, so of course there would be many people out there.

It *JUST* missed the far northern edge of DFW suburbs by a few miles (it tracked over a mostly still rural part of Collin County) But yeah, definitely an impressive-looking cell.

Provided there's not much cloud cover for once, DFW has a shot at its first 100*F high of the season tomorrow.

It borrowed some of that cap of steel from DFW...

Part of the reason the storms struggled yesterday in DFW proper is because, aside from the somewhat erractic vertical shear profile causing the storms to easily split as well as somewhat unimpressive mid-level lapse rates, the activity that did pop off along the dry line quickly became outflow dominant due to low-level lapse rates not having a sufficient opportunity to steepen. Today seems to be playing out similarly (for N. TX that is), but even when the low clouds do finally erode, it will then be a race against time with the high clouds from the TX panhandle blowing in (also working to limit heating).

HRRR definitely was a lot more bullish yesterday and early this morning. But yeah, we've been socked in low clouds all day (and still are as of 1pm) and temps are only in the low/mid 80s. With the lack of surface heating to fully erode the cap, I'm pretty confident DFW will miss out on any real activity (other than maybe more cirrus debris and remnant showers).

I can smell the mildew just from looking at those pics. Way too much rain for my liking...

On another subject, although DFW was socked in low clouds much of the day before the convective debris took over (so wasn't all that easy to tell), there's quite a bit of smoke out there from ongoing wildfires in Mexico, making for very hazy conditions. Supposedly, it's coming from the widespread wildfires ongoing down in Mexico. That may also explain why areas that haven't had anything formidable headed their way but still get the cirrus blowoff have been getting so dark.

So after having those intense storms stew all day just south of DFW, we now see brand new intense storms blow up just north of DFW. But somehow, DFW itself still manages to dodge any real activity. What a season...

DFW was short changed out of 90*F yesterday, but it did get there today, overacheiving several degrees above the forecast high thanks to a significant break in the cloud cover this afternoon and the mixing down of dewpoints under the outflow bubble.

Yep.

I'm assuming by "large hail," they meant severe-criteria hail...

The early initiation with the front surging southward faster than expected, as well as the lack of surface heating beforehand (since we were socked in low clouds), kind of did DFW in as far as not realizing the full potential with this setup.But it does seem there were plenty of low-end severe hail reports in the northern suburbs (quarter to half-dollar size) thanks to ample elevated instability and vertical shear. So while underperforming, not a total bust.Also, lightning just struck a transformer here and the power was out for about 15 seconds (it's back on now)

Managed an intra-hour high of 90*F today at DFW, 8th day of the season.

Even if it did, it was still likely too little too late to spare Greenfield from extensive damage.

That thing is/was definitely quite elevated. DFW and DAL both picked up little (if any) precip from it, and it had virtually no impact on surface temps.

The atmospheric recovery in Des Moines has been nothing short of incredible.

Got a "little engine that could" trying its damndest right now just east of FW...

On the plus side, this is the time of year to get as much of it in as you can, before we get into the dog days of Summer...

They did at least get the precipitation forecast right, lol...