Beagles20

This site should be free if your interested. This will give you access to most of the models. https://home.pivotalweather.com/

The NFL needs to do something with that Luvu or Luvo whatever his name is. I believe he is the one that knocked Hurts out of the game. Took a cheap shot on Goff. The kid is a good player but it seems to me that he is a head hunter.

I think we have a courtesy L pressure to the north letting the southern L to pass through first. What is causing it to hang out between hours 57 and 81? It basically doesn't move. I am not a meterologist so I am seriously asking. I have never seen that without blocking. Is it because of the system we are watching to the south?

I had to clear my cache. Now its working again. SMH!

Yeah, I realized that after I posted it. WTH! Here is a screenshot I just took on my computer. The upper left clearly says 1/5/25 23z run but the right hand corner of the map say 1/4. My bad. I apologize for posting the wrong map.

I see that on the map now on the upper right hand corner, but I clicked on the 23z in the upper left corner. See the screenshot attached to here. If it is from last night, I apologize for sharing the incorrect map.

Latest HRRR and RAP models giving us some hope for the northern folks. Who knows if it will pan out, but can give us some hope to get more than 2".

Here's to an 80 mile shift north over the next couple of days to be in the jackpot or for the storm to stay where its at, whichever comes first! Enjoy this one you southerners in the Mid Atlantic! Hopefully, we can squeeze out a couple of inches and be happy here in PA!

I did not go out and measure but we ended up with about 12” or so. Light snow currently.

NWS just issued a winter storm warning for an additional 4-6”.

Just got home here and we have been under that heavy band in Berks County. We probably have about 5 or 6” already. Snowing heavily and fairly large flakes.

I may be barking up the wrong tree here, but while models are depicting more snow (in most cases) than currently forecasted by local and regional mets, the ground is warmer (not frozen) at least in my area along with the marginal temps at the surface. With that, while most of the storm will be snow (as modeled), the models do not take into account the ground temps and only the air temps at the different levels of the surface. Therefore, until areas get into the heavier snow bands, snow may not accumulate as much as models are depicting, hence the lower snow amounts. Is this accurate when it comes to models?

Fox29 is the same except for a large area surrounding the Philly area with 4-6 due to the IVT (banding).

Yeah, I guess your right, but I typically discount when it says that.

Not sure how reliable this model is, but it is the 0z (Hour 30)

However, I just went into Mt. Holly's forecast for my area and they reduced amounts from 3-5 inches to 2-4 now. Tonight Snow likely, mainly after 5am. Cloudy, with a low around 23. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Friday Snow. High near 28. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Friday Night A chance of snow, mainly before 7pm. Cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 13. Wind chill values as low as zero. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Agreed! Most of the guidance today/tonight has been 1-2" less than the amounts we are showing. Hopefully they see something that models aren't picking up on. I doubt it, but we can hope anyway.

Oh ok. I remember watching the game kinda ticked off because philly was getting all that snow and we got like 2" or something like that.

Is that the one during the Eagles game?

We have moderate snow right now but the flakes are probably 1.5-2" big right now. Getting into heavier bands right now. I am sure there is some mixing going on here, but the big snowflakes are awesome to see. Good to hear Reading has changed back to snow. Maybe we can hang on for a little while longer.

Got it. Thank you. I did figure out what was meant by the CC. Thanks again for the explanation.

My bad, what is CC?