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Maggie Valley Steve

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Everything posted by Maggie Valley Steve

  1. Maggie Valley Steve
    Down to 14 and heavy snow. The upper low is getting closer. Incredible rates now.
  2. Maggie Valley Steve
    First morning shots. There was no hyping here in the Mountains that's for sure.
  3. Maggie Valley Steve
    Eyeballing about an inch and counting. I'll measure tomorrow morning on my snowboard.
  4. Maggie Valley Steve
    Same here! Very little wind at all.
  5. Maggie Valley Steve
    Light snow and 28. Already a dusting including the driveway.
  6. Maggie Valley Steve
    Flurries have started at Valley floor. It took a while to saturate enough.
  7. Maggie Valley Steve
    Light flurries on Hemphill Bald just above Cataloochee. It's that time folks. Enjoy!
  8. Maggie Valley Steve
    Folks in the Tennessee forum are reporting snow in Knoxville area now.
  9. Maggie Valley Steve
    Looks like our upper trough that will develop into a closed upper low is progressing nicely. That trough is currently located over Illinois dropping S. The shortwave to the W is dropping quickly through the Rockies. There are several surface waves riding along the Gulf Coast as well. I'm seeing signs of frontogenesis over Eastern Tennessee with rising clouds. Locally, some lower clouds are developing over the ridge tops. It is probably another 3 to 4 hours before flurries begin.
  10. Maggie Valley Steve
    Haywood County schools will let out at noon.
  11. Maggie Valley Steve
    20 and Cloudy at the house this morning. Humidity has risen overnight to 72. It 'feels' like snow. Good luck gang!
  12. Maggie Valley Steve
    I really hope you folks do well! You've suffered long enough.
  13. Maggie Valley Steve
    The WPC stated in their afternoon disco that the Blue Ridge and the Smokies had a Moderate to High Risk to exceed 8 inches so that makes sense to me!
  14. Maggie Valley Steve
    It's going to fun to focus on small Mesoscale features that we just won't know until an hour or two prior. I'm beginning to see some ratio output suggesting 23:1 and a few approaching 25:1. Wherever a band sets up near the UL could drop a foot to 16 inches. We'll see.
  15. Maggie Valley Steve
    Surprised to see my point and click suggesting 4 to 8 inches possibly higher. The wind doesn't look like much of an issue until Saturday night. It's also interesting seeing another chance of snow Wednesday afternoon into Thursday in that point and click forecast as well.
  16. Maggie Valley Steve
    Thanks for everyone posting the models today! I've had a hectic day and you guys have allowed me to get updates quickly!
  17. Maggie Valley Steve
    Just got back from Asheville. Heavy brine being laid on I-40 in Haywood County. I'm not sure how much good it will do with the very cold temperatures we're expecting as the snow falls tomorrow afternoon into Saturday. The Ice Extravaganza in Maggie Valley has been canceled for Saturday.
  18. Maggie Valley Steve
    17 at the house this morning. So we are going to do this thing? It's been 4 years since more than 5 inches has fallen from one event in my yard. I believe we're going to see some dynamics that the models can't sniff out until a couple of hour out!
  19. Maggie Valley Steve
    The good thing is I'll be able to blow the snow off the driveway with the leaf blower!
  20. Maggie Valley Steve
    Differential Positive Vorticty Advection
  21. Maggie Valley Steve
    GSP mentioned they were considering hoisting a Watch this afternoon, but opted to hold off until the overnight guidance came in. Seems to be a Storm totals concern more than the need a Watch/Warning issue.
  22. Maggie Valley Steve
    Well, it certainly appears we will not be dealing with that old pesky warm nose this time! That said, I expect the discussion to ramp up with the WPC/NWS with the possibility of a Watch hoisted by tomorrow afternoon.
  23. Maggie Valley Steve
    17 here at the house. GSP stated in their morning AFD the the National Blend is suggesting .25 to .50 of QPF with ratios of 15 to 20:1.
  24. Maggie Valley Steve
    Big weekend event in Maggie Valley with our IceFest. Skiers should be piling into town as Cataloochee increased their base by 25 inches since Sunday morning!
  25. Maggie Valley Steve
    I would expect ratios to be much higher than 10:1 if this plays out as cold as the guidance suggests. That closed off upper low looks to be brutal for the Mountains.
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