Maggie Valley Steve

Just got back from Asheville. Heavy brine being laid on I-40 in Haywood County. I'm not sure how much good it will do with the very cold temperatures we're expecting as the snow falls tomorrow afternoon into Saturday. The Ice Extravaganza in Maggie Valley has been canceled for Saturday.

17 at the house this morning. So we are going to do this thing? It's been 4 years since more than 5 inches has fallen from one event in my yard. I believe we're going to see some dynamics that the models can't sniff out until a couple of hour out!

The good thing is I'll be able to blow the snow off the driveway with the leaf blower!

Differential Positive Vorticty Advection

GSP mentioned they were considering hoisting a Watch this afternoon, but opted to hold off until the overnight guidance came in. Seems to be a Storm totals concern more than the need a Watch/Warning issue.

Well, it certainly appears we will not be dealing with that old pesky warm nose this time! That said, I expect the discussion to ramp up with the WPC/NWS with the possibility of a Watch hoisted by tomorrow afternoon.

17 here at the house. GSP stated in their morning AFD the the National Blend is suggesting .25 to .50 of QPF with ratios of 15 to 20:1.

Big weekend event in Maggie Valley with our IceFest. Skiers should be piling into town as Cataloochee increased their base by 25 inches since Sunday morning!

I would expect ratios to be much higher than 10:1 if this plays out as cold as the guidance suggests. That closed off upper low looks to be brutal for the Mountains.

I'm glad I finally got above freezing this afternoon. The driveway is finally dry and I can get out as needed.

8 this morning.

Heavy dusting and 19 at the house.

Crazy! It's totally calm in Maggie and very thick fog has settled in. I'm sitting at 46 and the only sound I hear is Jonathan Creek rushing through town. I ended up with 1.73 inches in the gage for this event.

Hey Gang. I really appreciate all of you and it was great to see so many folks that don't normally hangout in our Mountain threads year round. Thanks for letting an old man that has loved all things weather since a little boy participate and pass along a little bit of what I've learned and occasionally share some information from longtime friends in the weather business.

So paying $20 a month for the privilege to look at it. Thank you for letting us know. My days of paying anything for my weather passed when I started living on a fixed income, but that's just me.

My grandma told many decades ago..."believe nothing you hear and half what you see". But that was 60 years ago before AI was even dreamed of. She was born in 1900.

It's hidden behind paywalls isn't it?

The back edge of the precipitation is here. Skies are brightening to the West of the house. Very thankful that we escaped the worst of it here in the Valley! It looks like I have a little over an inch and a half in the gage.

It continues to look like an active weather pattern with cold air fully entrenched across our Region. Flow snow develops tonight into tomorrow. Another shortwave arrives Tuesday afternoon bringing an additional shot of snow before a much stronger shortwave rounds the base of the Polar Vortex lobe Wednesday afternoon bringing a better chance of accumulations. GSP is stating snow chances almost anytime from Tuesday afternoon to Thursday evening. GSP also stated that the guidance is beginning to pick up another storm system next Saturday with additional snow chances possibly spreading beyond the Mountains.

Pouring down here at the house the past 15 minutes. Temperature is down to 49.

Yes it is. Tornado Watch up for portions of Southern Alabama and SW Georgia. I've had more branches come down when the gusts started this morning than most of the Winter so far.

Currently 55 at the house with winds gusting to 35. Looks like a squall line has developed across Alabama and steadily marching our way. It should arrive this afternoon and then the temperature plummets this evening. I suspect that the winds will be very gusty behind the front with flow snow getting going after midnight.

That's what I was telling Met1985 earlier. Looks like nice little event. It also looks like clipper after clipper the next week or two as well.

47 with light rain. I dodged a bullet and never lost power overnight.

Cataloochee has freezing rain and 31 currently. I'm down to 28 now.