Violentweatherfan

There is a trough in the west that is driving the south east ridge straight up I-95 Edit: that is for Thursday

How is this not all rain throughout all three forums, Mid Atlantic, Philadelphia, and NYC

Not sure what the driving force to move it north would be, everything right now is a west to east flow. And it’s gonna be fast moving ending sooner resultin in less snow totals Edit: this is a possibility per snowgoose from the NYC forum The setup is becoming crazily complicated now, they are almost involving 2 waves which is partially why this has come north and now the big system behind it is trending way less "cutty" at 00Z which I think most agreed would happen since this pattern is not producing a Great Lakes bomb

Same here in Jamison sleet and ZR

So is this how qpf is determined

I wouldn’t get too excited until that SER is gone, which hopefully will be after the 15th

Inside five days, that’s when it’s worth while looking. Plus after the 15th the MJO will be in phase 8 and hopefully beat down the SER

Plus the speed of the storm, it’s moving quickly which will cut back on qpf maps

Snow maps are spitting out all froze precipitation and not identifying ZR or sleet. Id set expectations low

I’d temper expectations for 02/08 storm model’s are showing all precipitation as snow when it’s not.

The MJO won’t be in phase 8 til the 15th. Might have to wait til next week.

That’s @Doormanquote

Found this YT channel from the MA forum, definitely recommend a watch

Even the Bluebirds at my feeder are turning more blue, definitely cancel.

All kidding aside, my feeder is packed with Bluebirds, Cardinals, Goldfinches, Titmice, Chickadees, and four species of Woodpecker. They know something is coming

At my bird feeder the Goldfinches summer plumage is beginning to show.

I’m gonna need a roof rake

KC’s defense is suspect. The eagles will have to out score the chiefs to win which they can

I use wunderground and my reading was -4. I selected another station which allows a view of the entire county. There were other below zero stations and many above by five degrees.

Is she sure they’re not from carpenter bees

I had to customize that suet feeder just for the Pileated Woodpecker, double cake jawn

Yeah, visits every day. I hear her yapping and drumming on a daily basis. I have about 30 species that visit my feeders since I moved to Jamison, Eastern Bluebirds are a special sight to see

Looking at radar 7:30pm is the last heavy band of snow and it will taper off

@Albedoman

Ya know the grass is really greener on the other side Lol