ChangeofSeasonsWX

Looks like Donna

I would put 1938, Hazel, Sandy, and Fiona all into the same category. All four took that unusual left hook track late in the season and they all intensified rapidly and had crazy trough interactions.

That would be fun. Or maybe a Hazel-type storm into New England.

Yeah you just can't win in New England when it comes to weather boredom. We don't get canes or severe like we used to so just have to enjoy the occasional downpour. Winter used to be the only season that wasn't boring but now it doesn't even stay cold anymore in the winter like it used to and snow is less frequent. We got very lucky in the 2010s with snowfall and now the 2020s are the new 1980s.

Back when I wasn't as knowledgeable about climo I always used to assume that New England got more hurricane hits than Atlantic Canada since they are further north and waters are cooler. However, now I realize that since Atlantic Canada sticks out directly in the path of recurves they get hit much more often. The timing of that ridge/trough interaction has to be just right in order for a small land area like New England to get hit. It really is like threading a needle.

In this area of the country you probably have better odds of winning the lottery than getting directly hit by a hurricane in any given year. That's how it seems anyways, I mean considering how we are now at 33 years and counting without a direct hit. Before the 1938 hurricane, 42 years had passed since a hurricane had hit New England, so we could potentially go another decade or longer without a hurricane landfall.

I wasn't drawing comparison to the impact, just the track.

Everyone is focused on the Atlantic (with good reason), but soon-to-be Typhoon Maria in the WPAC has caught my attention. Most of the major models have it taking an unprecedented track with a sharp left hook into Japans east coast. It kind of reminds me of Sandy in that sense. I believe that Typhoon Mac in 1989 and Typhoon Lionrock in 2016 are the only other typhoons to make landfall along Japans east coast, north of Tokyo, but neither one made as sharp of a turn as what Maria is expected to make.

I was talking about snowstorms mostly. The 2010s from what I've heard were anomaly unfortunately. The 2020s are like what the 1980s were for snow....except that it's not even cold like it was in the 80s. Just nasty drizzle and fog for four months. In terms of cutters, unless November 1950 comes walking through that door, it's not even that exciting either. A couple of good gusts for an hour or so and that's it. But it's all we have to look forward to in terms of weather in the winter now. Summer has always been boring except for the rare hurricane or tornado. New England doesn't get the same extremes that other areas of the country get.

Might as well live in San Diego at this point given how boring the weather has been lately. We don't get hurricanes anymore. We don't get wind or good thunderstorms anymore either. Winter is our most exciting season around here but even that hasn't produced any good storms in recent years. Even England gets better windstorms than us. Nova Scotia gets great storms too.

One of my dads first memories was of Connie/Diane. He was living in Naugatuck, CT and his house was at the top of a hill so it didn't get flooded. He said that there were helicopters airlifting people off of their homes and he could see it from up on the hill.

Hopefully we get a tor in N Seekonk this time. I'm just south of N Attleboro and always wanted to see one. No higher than EF0 though please. Just seeing the winds change direction would be cool.

Last night was entertaining but nothing crazy around here like what some other areas saw. We briefly lost power but it came back on right away. Maybe a couple of brief 40-45 mph gusts. The 8/4/15 macroburst was much more impressive in RI/SEMA.

Thankfully 1938 was at least a 1 in 400 year storm based on available data. The last storm of that magnitude was in 1635. So odds are very high that we will never experience something that severe in any of our lifetimes.

There are just way too many modes that result in failure when it comes to high end severe in NE. I mean the last real derecho event was maybe July 1995? Similar to the last hurricane in 1991. May 1998 derecho was in upstate NY mostly. Plus, since the Great Barrington tornado in 1995, the only EF3+ we have had was in 2011. It really seems like high end severe is less common than it used to be around here for whatever reason.