kerplunk

Southern ice storm is underperforming - more snow than predicted. Maybe a good sign?

Can confirm that. Am under it now and not a single pinger. Looks like it will be brief - too bad it’s not a north/south oriented band, Haha.

Precipitation Depiction radar on RadarScope is showing mostly snow. But I don’t usually go by that other than a general indicator. Have found mPing to be more reliable.

Me too. It’s closing in on me fast and if anything showing stronger. Will have a first-hand report soon.

I’ve only seen one out around Indiana and most around it are still snow. West of the Alleghenies, however, lots of mixed precip reports. That said, I’m strictly going by mPing so we may not be using the same references.

Will let you know soon, if it holds together - only about 20 miles south of me and moving north.

Horizontal 38dBZ band moving north has me a bit nervous about sleet - hoping it’s all snow. Haven’t seen any reports of mixing to my south.

Eyeballing my 1st inch and moderate, dry snow at 19º. No pingers yet.

Originally came here for the weather…..but I stay for the sports.

How things change…11 mPing reports within 7 miles of me. Used to be lucky to see more than 2-3. Tiny flakes, but things got white very fast here. PennDot only got 1/2 of my road pre-treated and the untreated part already caved with snow blowing around as cars drive by. Promising start.

First flakes here. Really surprised at no virga with current dew point…saw flakes as soon as radar showed the precip. Temp at 19º and DP at 2º.

Get the RadarScope app and enable mPing reports. Problem solved.

Several mPings for snow/grapple showing up west of Breezewood with some good returns on radar and moving up towards Altoona.

Low is moving from around Atalanta toward the coast (now in central SC) and pressure is dropping.

Anybody noticing the storm seems to be looking a bit ragged on national radar?

Great that you posted this because I was just thinking about what the implications are for that high not weakening or moving out as quickly as forecast. And, most importantly, what the chances are for that happening.

You mean like what has already happened with this storm?

4.1/-2.3

Versus my new Point Forecast (5:11am): Sunday A chance of snow, mainly after 4pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 24. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Sunday Night Snow before 1am, then snow and freezing rain. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 22. Northeast wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. M.L.King Day Snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain, becoming all snow after 9am. High near 33. West wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

To be honest…there’s only one thing I want from this storm; to be historically extraordinary in some way. Don’t care if it’s due to snow, sleet, freezing rain, rain, wind, or some combination of those. Just want it to make me shake my head in wonder. That’s what I’m rooting for. Thankfully, we’re living in a time when the chances of that happening are becoming increasingly less rare. And we’re just really getting started on what looks to be a long path of extraordinary events. Lots to look forward to! May have overdone it with the hot cocoa tonight. Probably shouldn’t have it on tap.

There’s something practical about it?

Then all freeze solid as the cold locks in. One way to get a lasting snowpack.

Maybe it will pull an Agnes and circle back.

You won’t be alone. I’ll also blame you.

Great explanation and comparison. The side-by-side really helped. Much appreciated.