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LakePaste25

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About LakePaste25

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KERI
  • Location:
    Waterford, PA

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  1. LakePaste25
    Mid latitudes in the northern hemisphere, that is. It is coupling fine in the southern hemisphere.
  2. LakePaste25
    ^ good place to grow Alfalfa while giving the farmers free water lmao
  3. LakePaste25
    yup, the budget for the insurance company I work for got wiped out from Helene. they were over leveraged there because that was supposed to be a “climate change haven.”
  4. LakePaste25
    W Pac has really been cooling down.
  5. LakePaste25
    Are we really using recency bias for the CPC maps? This will be a +3C or higher Nino. 100% likelihood we see the typical super nino temp distribution regardless if the CPC was off the last winter.
  6. LakePaste25
    It already feels like we’re heading that direction on a very small scale. The weak La Nina’s we had the last 2 years have exhibited extended Modoki-like patterns at least prior to February.
  7. LakePaste25
    yeah mid 20th century lull came from sulfur which blocks solar radiation.
  8. LakePaste25
    Preliminarily this is where I’m leaning (locally): December +7 to +10 January +5 to +8 February -1 to +2 I will revise this later on. This is for the lower Great Lakes (Erie, Cleveland, Buffalo, Rochester). Of the 3 months, there’s little chance I’ll revise December. Might even go higher.
  9. LakePaste25
    that’s why super ninos all have below normal snow here. Every month is usually greater than +3. No room for week+ long lake snow blitz’s to save the season.
  10. LakePaste25
    Here as well, at least on a daily basis. +3 or +4 in the monthly is probably the upper limit here where I can get a week of big lake snows while the rest of the month is a torch. Higher than +4, we’re getting into “the whole month is shot outside of a some minor/medium snowfalls” territory.
  11. LakePaste25
    Carryover Ninos/ENSO neutral are usually a gold mine for E US winters. Another reason I want this El Niño to be as strong as possible.
  12. LakePaste25
    It worked in 09-10 but that’s because there was a TPV anchored near James Bay that could phase with these pacific systems. Without that, we’re just relying on dynamic cooling which tends to only favor snow for the mountains. Pacific jet is also usually too strong to allow a TPV to anchor up there.
  13. LakePaste25
    I’m similar. While i enjoy snow the most, I do like a good great lakes cutter bomb with high winds. I also enjoy severe storms in the summer.
  14. LakePaste25
  15. LakePaste25
    The main difference with 77-78 and modern El Niño events, is that the 77-78 warmth was confined to the upper midwest. Departures in NYC, DC, and Boston were not that impressive. In fact, NYC in Jan 1878 had a mean temperature below 30 degrees. Modern El Niño events, the upper midwest ridge is not only displaced eastward, but it’s likely more expansive, so places like NYC see major positive departures such as what occurred in December 2015.
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