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LakePaste25

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About LakePaste25

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KERI
  • Location:
    Waterford, PA

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  1. LakePaste25
  2. LakePaste25
    Plenty of gas in the tank out in the west pac and Nino 4 regions to go higher too.
  3. LakePaste25
    Yup. To eradicate that W pac warm pool (which is what we want), we will need to maximize on this potential.
  4. LakePaste25
    Can’t wait for the “not a torch!!!” copium on twitter because it’s 45 and cloudy in nyc under a CAD setup while it torches everywhere else
  5. LakePaste25
    If you’re talking the difference between 97-98 and 15-16, I don’t think it matters as much as one might think it does in terms of winter prospects. 97-98 could’ve easily had a mid atlantic KU blizzard just like 82-83, 15-16 did. Maybe 15-16 had more cold periods, but that’s it. The reason we prefer a 97-98 outcome is because it will eradicate the W pac warm pool.
  6. LakePaste25
    Yeah Dec ‘97 vs. ‘15 were night and day especially for the high elevations of NE. There is a difference between mild pacific air from a jet extension and mild pacific air from a jet extension + subtropical Gulf flow from the SE ridge. The former (‘97) is serviceable.
  7. LakePaste25
    can really see where this makes a difference in +/- precip anomalies. With a traditional Nino look and more suppressed convection in the W pac on the EPS, you get the typical deep +precip anoms in the traditional Nino southern stream belt in the SE with -anoms in NE. whereas the GEFS, with its lingering convection in the W pac, has a more muted precip signal.
  8. LakePaste25
    The EPS appears to be modeling less lingering convection in the west pac vs. the GEFS and CMCE.
  9. LakePaste25
    I’m going to wait until September or October to see if we can do anything to that west pac warm pool first. Agreed that’s where we’re headed if it lingers.
  10. LakePaste25
    “La Nino” pattern with the strong southern stream (relative to seasonal normals) that curves northward due to the se ridge. Could be due to the lingering warm pool that @bluewave refers to
  11. LakePaste25
    hopefully this pre nino summer is a bust and we set multiple heat records throughout the summer. I love hot and humid summers
  12. LakePaste25
    I wouldn’t say that coming 1 degree short of the all-time record high for May is “normal”
  13. LakePaste25
    Just recorded our 2nd earliest 90+ degree day on record at ERI. The earliest was 5/16/1991. Definitely not typical for a pre Nino May.
  14. LakePaste25
    The key is to just roll with it. Fire up the BBQ on Christmas and make something good
  15. LakePaste25
    Pretty much my preliminary thoughts until we see cool anomalies replace the west pac warm pool like during the past super nino events.
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