kazimirkai

Ask the Russians

Me when the gfs is worse...

Yeah id be surprised if I cracked 4 inches at this point, hoping the northerly downslope is forgiving

The ALY forecast range for my area still says 4-13" lol

Anyone know what model Albany is seeing that would suggest anything like this?? It looks ridiculous

is H5 500 mb heights?

The op was a bust but the ensemble wasn't all that different from the 18z, still plenty of members near the coast, and more confident in a stronger system so its still seeing the phasing. Just shifted a bit east which can still change

Oh dear...

Irritating to even root for this one because I'm going to be at the AMS conference in New Orleans from the 10th to the 13th. I almost hope it doesn't end up being a huge event since that would be miserable to miss.

I'm getting tired of this back and fourth its exhausting. Blizzard or bust pick one and leave me be

Anyone here live on a boat off the coast of NJ? They might get dumped on with this one

I don't like that quebec high I feel like this run is gonna have like no moisture inland. Certainly a good storm there though

Ug should make some sort of page with all the definitions for new members. I get so confused on here with all the acronyms

Don't all big storms have a bunch of moving parts that have to line up perfectly in a precise window? I've read the Kocin and Uccellini books and it seems the caliber of storms on some of the OP runs were never common. It's always taken a lot for them to happen. I don't have the benefit of lived experience though so Idrk.

Is that an effect of global warming?