Witness Protection Program

Isn't a large major approaching on the eastern edge of the current cone considered the worst case scenario for New Orleans, at least for storm surge? Not that I expect everything to come together for that, just seem to recall that was the findings of a study an LSU professor did years before Katrina.

75% of the Houston area is now without power.

Yes, local officials think this may surpass Ike both in the percentage of the population that loses power and the cumulative amount/speed of wind. Even though Ike was a Cat 2 landfall, most of the Houston area was not on the dirty side of that storm. Beryl put more of the metro on the dirty side, Also a lot of locations have exceeded predictions for both sustained winds and gusts. The total damage will also be magnified by the fact that 2 million more people live in the Houston area compared to 2008 (7.6 million estimated now.)

Beryl does seem to be overperforming local predictions for rainfall and wind gusts. One of the news stations said that power outages may approach the level of Ike. Further update: Justin Michael has achieved the unthinkable, surpassing Reynolds Wolf as The Worst.

"Standby for news!" - Paul (not hurricane) Harvey Harris County's top official is back in town, Emergency Mgmt returns to full strength, and she will hold a news conference to update the situation any moment now. Here's the link: https://x.com/HarrisCoJudge/status/1810106275067478038

Counterpoint: I saw Bear Suit at Buc-eee's just now, he said Cantore and he will end up at the Galveston seawall again. #SheBlindedMeWithScience

Video from inside the Sanger gas station (I-35 & Lone Oak Road) when the tornado hit https://x.com/ConnerStinesWx/status/1794804153551900895 From other video today over a rural subdivision 2 miles to the west (Lone Oak Road at 200 road) the heavy damage of houses is at least a half a mile wide https://x.com/foxweather/status/1794761278809883096 (:48+)

He drives all night more than Derek Jeter.

That's the east side of the river, including 2nd St @ Wrangler Heights. Both these houses were leveled: https://www.google.com/maps/@36.5601045,-96.1527161,3a,75y,282.23h,83.21t/data=!3m6!1e1!3m4!1sP4I7JOdB3pNlXvzdOtlO6A!2e0!7i16384!8i8192?coh=205409&entry=ttu

LOL, a few minutes ago there were 8 simultaneous tor warns in 4 states at the same time the mouth breathers were crying bust.

Looks like the Knox City tornado passed to the north of Munday (Bloody Munday). But still need to watch for another forming on the tip of the tail (How long, how long must I sing this song?)

Houses blown down to their foundations, is that common for EF3 or does that likely move it to a 4?

I think it may have just missed Ripley (believe it or not....)

Tornado has moved east of Festus (for the rest of us)

3 dead in Clarksville, 3 dead in Madison, last report I could find was they were still searching. Heavy damage and people trapped in homes in Springfield, too. https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/2023/12/09/tennessee-tornado-nashville-clarksville-hendersonville-springfield-damage-report/71866535007/

Something just exploded in Madison/Hendersonville when hit by the tornado. I'd guess a small storage tank, tanker truck, or railroad tank car. Google Traffic suggests the tornado crossed the railroad junction in Madison.

Castro's kid bringing a taste of Cuba....

I want some locals to run over shameless phony Justin Michaels with MIchelle Kosinski's canoe. Edit: Charles Goodloe reduced to interviewing Sinead O'Connor walking a paddleboard on a Clearwater street.

2 thoughts: 1. Looking at the swamps and topography of Florida's armpit, I'd say the odds are up to almost 50% that 1 or more dumb disaster wankers "Imma documentary stormchaserz!" ends up getting themselves killed by poor decisions. 2. Could be some really terrible results depending on where the surge for this thing hits. So many very low lying houses. Take a look at all those canal streets in Suwannee: https://www.google.com/maps/@29.3297975,-83.1433486,2760m/data=!3m1!1e3?entry=ttu You've got mobile homes on the water that will flood with as little as 5' of surge and some wave action: https://www.google.com/maps/@29.3308642,-83.1400039,3a,15y,234.07h,86.97t/data=!3m6!1e1!3m4!1sDUHcWJw9R1rGrvVwgnjaTQ!2e0!7i13312!8i6656?entry=ttu And even the homes built on stilts may have to contend with a lot of battering tree and mobile home debris atop the surge, driven by the winds. 1-2 miles inland not so advantageous when it's that low lying. We saw in Ike the way many stilt homes couldn't take the high surge + wave action, I'd guess it would have been even worse if there had been a mile of 3' elevation forested swamp in between. Might initially blunt the waves, but debris pile would eventually slam forward. No way I'd try to ride it out in Cedar Key, Suwanneee, Yankeetown, Horseshoe Beach, or even parts of Steinhatchee. And with all those snappable pines and thick forests, I would never mock anyone well inland evacuating from fears of wind damage.

Just became Franklin, and you must be confusing this system (topic) with the Gulf of Mexico system. Franklin will not be a threat to the Gulf but could pose some interaction with the Mid-Atlantic to New England depending on how modeling evolves and trough vs western Atlantic ridging interaction. Thanks. But... ...the Little Orphan Annie secret society decoder pin says: "Dang, how long has it been Franklin? I assume a lot of lighting involved? The key for me is keeping this turkey away from Houston." Should have added kite flying and Punnsylvania references.

Dang, how long has it been Franklin? I assume a lot of lighting involved? The key for me is keeping this turkey away from Houston.

Dang, a tornado trio is unusual in that part of northeastern(ish) TN, and in daylight no less.

What is Guam's tip over speed?

Yeah, 3 tornado warnings in Texas now, near Hearne, Van (Tippecanoe), and Tyler, too.

The Sometimes Weather Channel just gave KS and OK the bird. Airheads Go to Peru has just preempted the 2 ongoing tornadoes.