AstronomyEnjoyer

06z Euro

06z Euro looking kinda fun.

Thermometer is reading 31.9 right now, but the rain hitting the ground appears to be staying in liquid form for the time being. 0.26" new.

Reginald in violent disagreement with the NAM this morning.

Here's the Kuchera, might be a little more realistic.

For the SNE folks who want a closer look.

00z Euro in all its glory.

Oh wow, apologies for the compression on that image. Was a tad too aggressive.

UKMET tries to jackpot me, but it also seems convinced I'm getting 5 inches of snow tomorrow. Sorry King Charles, I don't think that's going to happen.

I appreciate you using one of your limited posts for me too, by the way - it really means a lot to me. I'm not sure how I'll top this one, but I'm sure I can concoct something.

I understand that. I'm questioning the nature of the straight-edged, polygonal jump discontinuities that appear in seemingly random places. It seems to me like there's something gone wrong with the output. Like an algorithm hit a corner case and couldn't decide what to spit out. And I guess it could be related to the nature of the mixed precip associated with tomorrow's system and somewhere between input and output there were some gears grinding somewhere but I really have no idea. I used to do a lot of data analysis as a flight test engineer so I'm genuinely curious as to what is happening here.

What in the hell is going on over central NH? There's an algorithm riding the struggle bus or something.

I was as low as 31.3 and bounced back up to 32.5. Sitting at 32.1 right now. Can't do much but wait and see what happens.

I deserved that NAM run, didn't I.

Oh I'm so petty about it. Too many times I've been the bridesmaid, never the bride. I was also out of town when that Dec 2020 storm dumped over 30 inches at my house. Pretty sure that fried my brain, haha.

Thank you, it took me a long time to find that unedited snippet from JPL that doesn't have any redacted words on it or anything.

As I look up, being pelted in the eyes with freezing rain and sleet, haha.

You bet the wagons will be coming north once I start running these models from the Cray in my basement. You're lucky that the 00z 3km NAM currently running is trying to knock power out at my house for the rest of the 2020's.

In more exciting news, my snow depth actually increased to 17" today! Had to measure on a hill as it was the only untouched spot I could find. I found this unedited snippet from JPL that could explain the increase. It was likely due to the warm weather and water expansion.

Aw man, I've hiked up Watatic more times than I can count. Awesome views for such a little hike.

Let's see what the Euro has to say about this potential icing situation. I sure hope it backed off from its 12z run! Let's compare to the 18z! ... It's now 31.3 degrees here...

True, but the school district there is made up of Pepperell, Townsend, and Ashby. I used to get so salty when visiting friends in high school that lived in Ashby as they would always have so much more snow than me. Ashby has to be close to the best town in central Mass for snow.

When I was younger I lived in Pepperell, MA, which, in the scheme of things isn't a terrible place for snow despite having little elevation (I was at like 300ft). But winters up here are just so much different. Snow cover through winter is kind of just the expectation.

Welp, I'm officially at 32.0 on the thermometer. Love this for me.

Don't temp me to post the full 18z GFS run. It's a good one - the colors - so beautiful.