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nvck

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Everything posted by nvck

  1. nvck
    And, of course, beautiful sunsets the past 2 nights as well.
  2. nvck
    Caught a "circum-zenithical arc" yesterday afternoon here in MI, as well as 2 sundogs thanks to those high hurricane clouds making their way north.
  3. nvck
    You can really see the shape of the eyewall on the lightning map from blitzortung
  4. nvck
    Up to 6 Inches over the past week in some of the mountains of NC (over past 7 days, but same idea)
  5. nvck
    Saw that, I won't talk too much about it on this thread, but yeah, another homebrew 'cane that the GFS (keep in mind at 240+ hrs) has landfalling on the FL panhandle around 950mb. Safe to say this likely won't verify, but worth keeping an eye on
  6. nvck
    looks like the core of it should miss land, although it'll certainly be close
  7. nvck
    Correct me if I'm wrong, but if the storm post-landfall does take a looping track like that highlighted in some of the models, wouldn't that lead to some pretty intense inland flooding, especially over S Appalachia and the Ozarks?
  8. nvck
    obviously just one model run, but wow... 935 only 4.5 days out is nothing to sneeze at...
  9. nvck
    Meanwhile, drought back home continues to worsen, with much of Appalachian Ohio in D4 conditions. Thankfully, rain looks to be coming sometime through the week, which should hopefully alleviate much of the dryness.
  10. nvck
    Euro ensemble pressure matrices for Tampa and Pensacola, off the 00z run (not available on 06z). Looks to be angling at more of a panhandle/ big bend area landfall, although not super strong.
  11. nvck
    https://x.com/realStarInBox/status/1820273147058303099?t=GQXJBgvzQRmDf372rwqpwQ&s=19
  12. nvck
    You gotta be like hella online either tiktok or 4chan or maybe twitter to fully comprehend
  13. nvck
    Not even noon and it's already 91/74/103
  14. nvck
    Extended Euro looks pretty dire for about half of the forum, between hardly any rain over the next 10 days and possibly triple-degree heat, flash drought seems pretty likely
  15. nvck
    Would only need an ~2 degree overperfomance here to hit that, probably sometime between monday and Friday next week
  16. nvck
    really hope this verifies! love the nice cool days throughout the summer
  17. nvck
    any idea why this cell, among others, are dying as soon as they get into the OKC area?
  18. nvck
    lets go with 29/15/5
  19. nvck
    absolutely insane... I just happened to look up on my walk home from work last night, and saw the brightest of the night for me!
  20. nvck
    Brandon Copic has a TOG in New Salem, IN
  21. nvck
    not looking good on radar
  22. nvck
    how much precedent is there for upgrading risks while the event is going on/ just before it starts in an area?
  23. nvck
    shit... violent tornado parameter ahead of the blossoming storms in W OK might be "maxed out", per spc mesoanalysis
  24. nvck
    cameron nixon had a twitter post recently about how some mergers between lines of storms and discrete storms w/ a strong meso can result in a boost to the discrete cell
  25. nvck
    to all the dumbasses screaming "bust!!" ... it only takes one storm...
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