some of us may need to chill on the dooming, lol. sref (not sure how it does for winter wx) still has the most significant accumulations farther north, especially compared to the euro
Neat visualization from the 12z GFS, really would like to see more snow in the more intense precip bands than freezing rain, but maybe it'll come back around
Also, freezing rain at 24° ground temps means that there's got to be one hell of a warm nose at like 850mb, right?
Pretty big uptrend for my area on the 12z EPS, also included a couple other stations around the region for everyone's viewing pleasure (or displeasure)
I mean, this is just ridiculous. Yeah, this is a couple weeks out, but temps down into the negative teens in Tennessee is crazy. Obviously, I don't think that this will come anywhere near verifying, but wow...
Decent rates here for about 30 or 40 minutes, enough to about half cover the grass. Just flurries now, but hoping for another inch or two tonight, maybe like last Wednesday?
KGRR - Precipitation Depiction, 10_52~2.mp4
Little LES band with Mt. Pleasant perfectly in the middle... glad to see the wealth be spread inland finally!
Yep lol, been pretty focused on mid-michigan, but heres a couple more charts I pulled from the 00z run for other cities
DTW:
Kalamazoo:
Chicago/O'Hare:
Cleveland:
Let me know if anyone wants any other graphics from this site, they've got some good visualizations, but it needs a subscription which I've got thru school.
Haven't been paying too much attention to ensembles, but this is a pretty big run-to-run change off the EPS, and somewhat surprising to see so close to the event?
What a complex forecast for this mid-week... Rain chance basically everyday, and didn't end up including any snow in my "official" 7-day, but wouldn't be surprised if we got even up to 3inches through the week.
Euro ensemble with a decent signal for something to happen on or around the 23rd, at least in my area. GEFS doesn't go out quite as far, but seems to be picking up on the same system.