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Bob Chill

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Everything posted by Bob Chill

  1. Bob Chill
    Only way my yard can eclipse an inch is if it's hot and heavy. like .2-.3 in 2-3 hours. There seems to be a legit chance for that to happen so maybe it's not crazy to expect 1" in the closer burbs.
  2. Bob Chill
    ICON made a notable move in the juicy direction.
  3. Bob Chill
    I use the term as a basic adjective and not inside of a technical box. Any trough that touches the arctic circle and gulf of mexico is a full latitude trough in my brain.
  4. Bob Chill
    I was set up!
  5. Bob Chill
    It was really popular in the 80s and lots of people got shot over it. Oh wait... I thought you said freebase. Scatch that.
  6. Bob Chill
    Here's the sounding to go along with the sim radar... lol. Straight ripping fatties
  7. Bob Chill
    These sim radars crack me up. It's like a thunderstorm. So compact... This is prob spot on. HoCo MoCo deathband is real.
  8. Bob Chill
    At least it's on its own now. EPS/GEPS combo looks quite a bit different and have been slowly improving each run. I'll toss the gefs until one of the others start to agree
  9. Bob Chill
    Every time I watch Wilson I wonder if he's part cyborg or AI or something. Level of precision at times is remarkable. Not just throwing the ball either.
  10. Bob Chill
    NA is our acronym for North America. Full latitude trough. Get that neg tilt and close off on the way north and it's fireworks for someone. It was just an interesting panel. Total fantasyland stuff though
  11. Bob Chill
    It's atypical but this is a big storm setup for the eastern US in general. One of the biggest NA troughs I've seen. Obviously it's an op out of range but this is an impressive panel
  12. Bob Chill
    Agree on the rollercoaster. Lost some time on any flip but now (imho only) we're seeing some agreement on how we get out and gaining a little time in the process. Gefs is now odd man out but until all 3 global ens agree on progression and timing I'll be nervous. Give me 2 runs of the gefs showing the GoA ridge building and I'm all in. It's still not a great look but magnitudes better than the next 10 days...
  13. Bob Chill
    I've never felt good on this one but it seems so unusual with how compact it is. Shortwaves like this are typically better
  14. Bob Chill
    Yea, after growing up for decades with sudden death rules, I think the current rule is perfectly fair.
  15. Bob Chill
    I always liked Cousins and loved Diggs as a terp. Was rooting for the Vikes. Amazing final drive. They earned it. Congrats
  16. Bob Chill
    I posted this yesterday but feel even better about where the pattern is going. Imho- both the geps and eps are moving towards this look late Jan. Not a big dog but certainly faaaar better than where we are now.
  17. Bob Chill
    EPS improved with the potential around the 17th. Meteos aren't out yet so I can't compare fine details run over run but overall it moved in the right direction. It's a tight window but looking half decent from afar. Gefs is odd man out with shuffling the pac ridge/trough. Eps and geps are rolling forward to a decent but not amazing look. Pleased overall as it appears the -pna death grip is easing.
  18. Bob Chill
    Here's 0z eps spread during the 15-18th. About 10 members with more than a dusting so 20% see opportunity during this period. We'll see how that changes over the coming week
  19. Bob Chill
    Both NAMs are showing a transfer now with slp off obx and that's the root of the SE jump. Something to watch on other guidance to see if it's nams being nams or something legit
  20. Bob Chill
    We have a discrete window between the 15-18th when strong confluence develops to our north out into the Atl and a half decent cold airmass to work with. All ens agree on some version. The tricky part is it's transient. So once chance at something from what I see. Will be at least 4-5 days before we know if a shortwave is going to cooperate
  21. Bob Chill
    Driving around for simple fun and sightseeing of any kind is really fun and relaxing. Doing it with a Hemi makes it even better
  22. Bob Chill
    That transient confluence and favorable atlantic around the 17th is now showing up on all ensembles. Not sure how long the window will be but imho it's one of the better looks we've seen. All kinds of scenarios on the table with a big slow moving CAD high.
  23. Bob Chill
    Good news is cmc is inch per hour rates. Bad news is it's the cmc
  24. Bob Chill
    CMC is juicy. Temps crash below freezing by 7pm. I just tossed the gfs
  25. Bob Chill
    Seeing Brady's year end with a pick 6 right in his face is bringing me immense immature pleasure
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