I'm not sure where we would go from the end of the 12z EPS but there was nice uptick in legit storms between the 18-21st. Another solid run in the books.
Yea, could be proximity to the beam changes accuracy? Anyways, 100% snow and seeing some decent dendrites. Winds just turned out of the north. The mix line seems to be following the wind shift line. Makes sense.
SW of us had the benefit of great timing with precip early in the AM. We're dealing with exactly what we were thinking yesterday... Boundary layer will be annoying...
Stupid GEFS reverted back to the trough west/ridge east. The difference between the GEFS and EPS is quite large right now.
Even with the crappy looks late, there a # of solutions with snowfall including some real storms. Back in Dec when a good pattern showed up d10-15 there were hardly any storms on the ens but not the case right now. I'll just keep huggin the EPS. It's busy d10-15 and hopefully we are too.
Man, that finger of fronto/lift through central MD is going to be pretty sweet here shortly. Omegas/DGZ on the soundings are impressive..
OB: 40 and virga
I'll fill in for our old friend Mitch:
Dumping on Skyline!
https://www.nps.gov/customcf/webcam/dsp_webcam_image.cfm?id=81B46B8C-1DD8-B71B-0BF1193DC1276558
Don't worry. In an hour this thread will be so busy you won't be able to keep up and even if you design a perfect troll post it will get buried with reports of "RIPPAGE!" or "White Meteors" or "OMG F me it's raining". Yea, something like that.
Really cool stuff on the leading edge. Wall of precip has feathers due to dry air. Overcomes almost immediately. Juicy slug inbound..
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=LWX-N0Q-1-12
At this point there's plenty of data to think about and understand how that applies to each person's yard. My climo nearly always puts me in the middle on these types of deals. 1-2" is where my head is at. A clean 2" would be quite a victory.