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Bob Chill

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Everything posted by Bob Chill

  1. Yea, i already knew it a week ago but didnt want to sound toooo selfish
  2. Just hug the icon and nams until something better comes along. We're in chips fall mode anyway. Jackpot tbd means not known until the event is over. These progressions are twisty turney. No model will nail exact placement of best banding/dynamics.
  3. Virga streaming in. If you use the cod nexrad site, once the hole over klwx fills in it means onset it imminent for the burbs. Western folks will already be reporting by then. There's going to be hours and hours of virga through late afternoon
  4. I'm too busy huggin the icon to worry about the gfs
  5. Icon goes nuts with the weenie ccb band. Lol. Big hit incoming
  6. I'm always very skeptical of nam qpf output. Temps are usually pretty good but i've seen more than my share of qpf busts. That said, i'm hugging the 12k until it implodes
  7. I fell asleep before the 0z euro and woke up to a model frenzy. I would have been depressed if i saw the 0z euro. Lol
  8. 3k mostly agrees with its mentally unstable brother
  9. Damn. Even .75 is a crushing. Good 6z and 12z so far
  10. Even if you us the standard short range nam reality adjustment it's still .60
  11. Thanks coastal but i think you meant to say melts on contact. Lol
  12. Normally i totally ignore the srefs but 21z is hugworthy so I'm in.
  13. This year is crazy. Almost every southern shortwave has overperformed midrange guidance.
  14. Read some obs in the midwest thread. Looks like a positive reverse bust in progress in MO and IL. Extrapolate that at your leisure
  15. Good question... it doesnt matter either way. Obs at this point are only temp, dews, and how cloudy your clouds are.
  16. Soundings at 18z look pretty good. Before onset the column is saturated down to 925mb. Surface winds are out of the south turning se then e. Def going to be hallucinations but one of the nice things about waa precip like this is moisture in the mids is steady streaming in well before onset. Clippers are the worst with "wasting snow"
  17. Alright folks. Locked and loaded with few if any worries. Hope the southern folks get more snow than ice. Ground is frozen and ready to get dumped on. Streets in the western zones will cave with the first flakes. *measure honestly. No slant sticks or "eyeballing a foot".
  18. FCX radar has the southern version of the classic westminster death band going on.
  19. DT strategically put RIC right on the 4-8 and 8-12 lines so if RIC gets anywhere between 4-12" he'll claim victory.
  20. Can't blame you for popping Xanax and oxys like tic tacs when dealing with that stuff.
  21. I'm pretty sure Ji cashed in his chips and bought a couple bars of Xanax and a handful of oxy's. Oh, and a pint of Beam to wash them down.
  22. Nah, don't feel bad or sweat it. The reality is we all don't give a lick about any yard except our own. I'm not mad that you are cashing in at all. I'm rooting for asteroids and fireballs in your yard and blizzards in mine but I'm not mad or anything.
  23. Dude, what are you talking about? We went from nothing to radar hallucinations overhead. That's yuuuuuge
  24. Definitely one of the tightest zero to .50 gradients I've seen in these parts. Usually there's a pretty wide .1-.25 contour on the edge of the heavies.
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