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Everything posted by Picard
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Currently at 32F which is my high for the day. We definitely have a decent glaze on everything and I anticipate lots of ice in the morning on driveways and sidewalks. Total snow was 1.5" +/- before the changeover to sleet and freezing rain. Careful out there.
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Just measured 1.2" here and I'm under heavier snows. I'm still locked at 26.4 degrees. According to radar, the r/s line is creeping northwest, and isn't far, so I'm wondering if that means some icing is possible here. Hopefully not.
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I'm still holding at 26 degrees and just crossed an inch. The precipitation hasn't been that heavy through most of it. RE: Schools - I agree. This wasn't a slam dunk and early calls can just as easily waste a day. It ended up working out for Sparta and a few other schools in this immediate area and to the north. I'm sure the main roads aren't horrendous, but the side streets with many hills probably are hazardous. Based on the forecast last night, I expected everything here to just be a slushy coating on the grass by now, so it's exceeded my expectations by a bit.
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Schools are closing already for tomorrow up this way. I would've been out anyway battling the crud, but I still think these early calls in iffy setups are not sound decisions and people should plan for the possibility of a closing or delay being called. The one thing we might have going for us is the low temps, which could lead to more icing if warm air overruns, especially in the AM. I wouldn't rule that possibility out and I've seen us get stuck in the low 30s before with warm air just above.
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He's not wrong on the merits - it makes sense that marginal events like these would be impacted and have the r/s line be further NW than it would be in the absence of global warming. I know it's a meteorology vs climatology argument, but there's possibly still some connection. Either way, I'll plan for a day of work tomorrow - and maybe still get lucky with a delayed opening.
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Thunder and lightening - four good flashes accompanied by loud rumbles and brief heavy rain while out to dinner in Rockaway, NJ. We ended up waiting it out a bit before running to the car. That wasn't on the bingo card for tonight.
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Pretty up this way, a quick 0.3" in Sparta to whiten everything into a mini winter wonderland. The roads were quite treacherous. The salt spreaders were just getting going as I got closer to school. I was concerned about all of our busses and student drivers. Thankfully, I haven't heard of any accidents from this morning, although a few busses were late and had to detour around 206 in Sandyston.
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Currently moderate rain, probably winding down - I got a nice burst from that line which brings my event total to 1.33".
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- heavy rain
- damaging wind? squalls?
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Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
Picard replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
That's gotta be getting close - or is actually a record measurement in the Atlantic. Unprecedented. -
Dryslots, sharp cutoffs, or too far north and west. It's always at least one of those three. May this time be different? Meanwhile, holy effing Melissa.
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Low of 21 in Walpack. Low 28 at home in Sparta. Chilly morning.
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0.25" overnight. Unexpected. Welcomed.
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That's why I wouldn't get my hopes up about this possible wet stretch just yet. Lately it seems we just have to watch development (or lack thereof) 24-36 hours out. Models haven't been great for a while.
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I wish I had been that detailed over the years. I started about that age, and always maintained my interest level, but got sloppy with the records as adult life took hold. I can't say I'm that great about it today either, but it is fun to track weather stats over time if you're organized and dedicated enough. I have a bunch of old weather gadgets dating to the 1980s and 1990s still at my parents house in storage. One of them is a Davis station, dating to around 1991 that lasted a few years, then succumbed to a lightening strike of all things. I remember that one, flash, bang, shook the whole house and toasted a couple of appliances.
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0.10 as well. Most of it was just remnant broken bands of showers as the southern edge rotated north. A nothing burger for the longer term drought. What did places like Buffalo and Toronto pick up? Looked like solid rains out there for close to 24 hours.
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I'm not expecting much here tonight or tomorrow. The ingredients just aren't there. Set expectations low and once in a while be pleasantly surprised.
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Sharp cutoffs continue to be a feature. This will be fun this winter. I'm up to 0.30" event total from 0.21" overnight. Wind is howling this morning. I didn't witness any power outages as of yet in my travels out this way.
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Looking solid for the coast now. Stay safe. We'll see how much of the remaining precip shield makes it west of 287 and north of 95 for some needed moisture. Otherwise it's just a breezy, damp, raw evening out this way.
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No. It'll just be lucky guesses at this point and someone will be right. Things are kinda verifying on the coast and LI, but just inland, the cutoff remains very sharp. Precip might be filling back in a bit offshore the last few frames. So far it seems even the areas east of 95 are also underperforming as far as the precipitation goes. Wind is more the story.
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Dry slot offshore on the past few radar loops. Let's see if it fills back in. Precip is minimal west of 95. Still just some light rain and mist with a breeze. Rainfall amounts <0.10" the past 24 hours.
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Breezy with patches of blue sky. The rain has no chance of making it west of 95. Am I wrong?
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I don't know if it means much, but I had a band of mist move through about 9:00 am, followed by partly sunny skies.
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