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Blizzard Hunter

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Everything posted by Blizzard Hunter

  1. It's gotten so bad that I will consider it a win if the models still suggest measurable snow for a couple more days, until the inevitable shift to the west and warmth.
  2. I understand your point, and it will probably either be sunny and cold or warm and wet. However, the possibility for snow is greater than what you present based on last model runs. I expect the chance to fizzle out, but just saying. Let's go Birds.
  3. I didn't. Got outside and made me start to think that I could accept no more snow and more sunny days.
  4. I'm not quite there yet. Feb 10th-12 has potential, but watch it vanish on models by tonight.
  5. Forgive my ignorance but I see winter precipitation in Tennessee expanding ENE now reaching Virginia. I also see a disturbance diving down into this from Canada and somehow this means a sunny day for us tomorrow? What am I missing?
  6. Looking at NWS radar, it looks like this moisture from Gulf is starting to interact with Northern wave in Canada. Am I looking at that right?
  7. I believe models are still playing catch up. My belief from start was that the moisture was being too aggressively chewed up.
  8. Very true. I can't remember the last time I tracked a potential coating snowfall so closely. God help us.
  9. Thanks for sharing. Looks a little colder and maybe a bit stronger then modeled. Pretty accurate overall though.
  10. I know the upside for this wave is limited, but I wonder what these last minute adjustments would mean for Weekend?
  11. Looking at radar down near Arkansas, this shift doesn't surprise me. I actually wouldn't be surprised if more positive adjustments are made. However, given how this this winter has gone, I'm too reluctant to believe it.
  12. This is first time this winter I remember ensemble snow means trending UP within seven days. If Right, that is reason for hope.
  13. I think the ensemble suites offer more hope, which is good.
  14. I think this is a good sign that there are scenarios where enough blocking can exist if we do get a stronger storm out of gulf. Still a long shot, I know.
  15. I know this is an attempt to be humorous, but if it works you will have to keep doing this.
  16. FWIW, I think your analysis is fair. I also don't deem it to be overly negative. This winter it is extra hard to read some of your analysis given how sucky the winter has been, but it's reality.
  17. The GEFS still looked promising though. 2/1-2/5 remains a period to watch.
  18. Normally you would be right, but I don't think GFS is only one sniffing this out. I have more faith than usual for this timeframe.
  19. GFS and Euro suggest a coastal forms for 2/3-2/4. Too far out to buy in but first time I've seen them both suggest it. I think I am most hopeful for this 2/1-2/5 time period but just waiting to see more support.
  20. I wish we could bet on weather. Betting on Rain would be a very safe play at this time, although odds would probably be like -1000 at least.
  21. As skeptical as I remain, the fact that ICON and Nam both have snow is not something to ignore. If I had to guess now, we may get a period of wet snow but little to nothing will stick.
  22. I get the joke here, but with the way this winter is going it wouldn't surprise me if the only real snowfall happens in early April between hours of 1am and 5am and is melted by morning.
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