I know models don’t matter much but I still like the GFS and the newest HRRR delays sleet until 2pm. Around 4” up here in Baltimore, I’d take it and run
Pulling at straws but latest HRRR is encouraging in holding off the sleet line until noon-ish but it’s also pretty darn weak with precip up until about 10am-ish. Anyway, nap time. Guess we shall see how it looks come 5am
When you have widespread winter storm warnings, gonna have premature closures. Let’s face it, it doesn’t take as much snow these days to close things as it did 10-20 years ago
Nope. It’s hard to believe that with a radar like that, this doesn’t come in hot and heavy around 6-8am. We’ll see if the global are right or the NAM/HRRR. Despite what some Mets say, I always like to blend GFS/Euro
Honestly I do not think dry air is that big of an issue on this one. I think it is more about the trajectory of the heavy precipitation. That mostly goes well to our north west into the Ohio Valley And West PA. So basically I think the precipitation coming our way kind of Is getting sheared out and getting weaker as it comes Northeast. At least that’s how the models see it to a degree