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BaltimoreWxGuy

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Everything posted by BaltimoreWxGuy

  1. It would seem to be a nice hit for Martinsburg to Hagerstown
  2. The euro is definitely better but we need more. Low tracks over the southern Chesapeake. Mid 30s and cold rain for many of us but it’s closer.
  3. Anybody got a mesoscale report? Where’s the 850 line and such?
  4. Finally. Pretty heavy snow, but the flakes aren’t great..seem like the really wet thin flakes if that makes sense
  5. What did this guy just do? Still nothing in east Baltimore. This looks like NOVA storm
  6. Why is Dundalk the snow hole pit. Nada yet. But looks like a thunderstorm cloud to my west
  7. It’s all the steam coming from the sewers and the crappy gangbangers
  8. Not a surprise. Was never suppose to start until about 7ish
  9. Not sure what you mean with the onset part...this has always been a within 1 hour of 7am start time for Baltimore
  10. I know models don’t matter much but I still like the GFS and the newest HRRR delays sleet until 2pm. Around 4” up here in Baltimore, I’d take it and run
  11. So not much Virga for you. Good sign I would think for us further north
  12. Looks like DC should be in good returns in next half hour. Guess we’ll see how much dry air is an issue soon here
  13. Pulling at straws but latest HRRR is encouraging in holding off the sleet line until noon-ish but it’s also pretty darn weak with precip up until about 10am-ish. Anyway, nap time. Guess we shall see how it looks come 5am
  14. Eh. The Euro isn’t overly exciting or a massive disappointment. 2”-3” for a lot of us at 18z Baltimore gets up to 4” in the hour or 2 after
  15. HRRR is better for the Baltimore area particularly. I know some think it doesn’t matter but I’d rather see it get better than stand pat lol
  16. When you have widespread winter storm warnings, gonna have premature closures. Let’s face it, it doesn’t take as much snow these days to close things as it did 10-20 years ago
  17. Nope. It’s hard to believe that with a radar like that, this doesn’t come in hot and heavy around 6-8am. We’ll see if the global are right or the NAM/HRRR. Despite what some Mets say, I always like to blend GFS/Euro
  18. Honestly I do not think dry air is that big of an issue on this one. I think it is more about the trajectory of the heavy precipitation. That mostly goes well to our north west into the Ohio Valley And West PA. So basically I think the precipitation coming our way kind of Is getting sheared out and getting weaker as it comes Northeast. At least that’s how the models see it to a degree
  19. ICON with delayed onset too but verbatim it looks like it rips from 10am-1pm. That’s our make or break time frame on if we get 1-2” or 2-4”/3-6”
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