Yardstickgozinya

Some of us have a little nub, some of us don't. I'm happy with it. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

If your tulips die it wasn't one night of freezing temps that did it. They should be fine. Canderson is 100 on that.

I had to make a run for the truck. There is not alot of rain here either but the strokes are right on top of me.

I just heard some powerful ground strokes to my wnw

Thunderstorms have started to initiate in the high risk area. I also here thunder, I'm working in Camphill .

Unfortunately the high risk coverage has expanded since this morning https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

The slight risk has been extended to include a good portion of sw and cpa on Thursday. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

2nd high risk of the season today. Hopefully its a bust. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

It had the right idea. It was just a little to far east and the orientation was slightly off.

Go fuck your mother you worthless piece of shit.

You fucking dirty little COC sucker . Every time I turn my back , you fucking sabotage me .

I'm pretty sure I here thunder to my south . I'm working in Mechanicsburg.

@Voyager here's a link https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/90fwbg.gif

I hope I'm not out of place . I am trying to come from a helpful and kind place. I see you did your best this morning to fill yourself in and thats awesome. Start your morning with a surface map . I have confidence you will find the fronts lol.

A lot of times showers and storms that form during the day will outrun the front as time progresses. By the next morning, what's left over will often be way out ahead of the front as it dissipates and ends up becoming fuel for the next round or a hindrance to daytime heating and convection.

Sorry , I just realized you read the discussion and weren't actually asking .

I have been trying to access the Hrrr this morning and unfortunately I keep encountering a server error but all the other tools There should be some sun this morning, and I'm assuming there will be some burn off until things refire later today. I have not been able to access the hrrr all morning due to a server error, and It has a cloud forecasting feature.

This is only concerning today's event. The full Nws forecast discussion can be found in the link at the bottom. .SHORT TERM /7 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/... Monday will be active, at least across the SErn third to half of the area. A strengthening surface low will track north of PA,dragging a trailing cold front through Central PA during the afternoon and early evening. Latest guidance indicates the pre-frontal low level jet and plume of deepest moisture will be over Southeast PA. Thus, the highest POPs and best chance of severe weather is targeted over that part of the state. RH profiles support midday breaks in the cloud cover over the eastern half of the forecast area, which is expected to fuel developing afternoon convection across primarily Southeast PA based on the latest CAMs. Strong mid level wind/shear profiles, combined with EPS CAPES in the 500-1000J/kg range over the Lower Susq Valley, support the potential of severe weather Monday PM. The latest SPC Slight Risk area extends west into the Central Mtns, but HREF updraft helicity values target areas southeast of I-81 for the best potential of organized severe convection. Relatively modest instability, combined with strong forcing favoring linear rather than discrete convection, suggests damaging wind gusts are the main threat, with large hail/isolated tornadoes much less likely. The threat of severe weather should end around 00Z, as the cold front pushes southeast of the forecast area. Ensemble mean qpf suggests rainfall Monday will range from 0.05 to 0.25 inches over most of Central PA. However, instability and much higher PWATs southeast of KMDT should support more substantial rainfall in that area, with heavy downpours potentially leading to localized amounts in excess of 1.5 inches based on some HREF members. This would be beneficial rainfall in a region that has been very dry. FFG values indicate significant flooding is very unlikely. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=CTP&issuedby=CTP&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

One eye to the sky and safe today dudes. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html ...Northern Mid Atlantic... Although stronger low-level wind fields will tend to shift northeast of the region early today with the progression of the Canadian cyclone, deep-layer shear will remain sufficiently strong to support a risk for severe convection. It appears that low-level moistening and daytime heating will contribute to at least a narrow corridor of weak to moderate boundary-layer destabilization along the pre-frontal surface troughing by late this afternoon. This may provide the focus for increasing thunderstorm development, particularly as the instability axis is overtaken by the cold front by this evening. Isolated supercells are possible initially, posing a risk for severe hail, and at least some risk for a tornado, before locally damaging wind gusts become the more prominent potential severe hazard as convection increases in coverage.

I decided to delete my last post for @Itstrainingtime because it's not worth any more drama, and after reading it this morning I realized it panted a bad picture of Bubbler . I probably should have included that I don't feel he would do such a thing, although I was talking about some members and generalizing about the growing number of people that partake in the behavior I was speaking of, and not playing into it. I should have been clearer and more careful with my post. It also was just an attempt to convince the Trainer to stay and stop beating himself up for no good reason, but definitely would have pissed a a lot of people off Lol. If you did read that @Bubbler86 I'm very sorry for lumping you into that.

In this case I say it's evolution.