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Everything posted by Yardstickgozinya
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Quasi linear convective system with embedded rotations is the mode they keep throwing out although there is talks of more discrete development out ahead, even into Pennsylvania. I would indeed bet that some of those segments, and even the whole line could qualify ifor derecho status if the parameters should be realized. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Oh, I still haven't heard it mentioned anywhere.It was just an observation of mine. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
With possible embedded rotations -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yes, extremely interesting. I also am hearing that an extremely potent jet streak it is expected to enhance convection and sheer from the middle Mississippi into the Ohio valley Sunday night into Monday . The last time I think any of us saw such robust nighttime convection this early in the season was 2011 and even that benchmark season waited until mid April to start it's nocturnal shenanigans. Apparently, the situation could be a lot more ominous had the last system not kicked the moisture. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
There's professional discussion now of severe weather, making it the whole way up into New England. It also looks to me like a little backside snow could possibly make it into the discussion as we move forward although I haven't heard it mentioned anywhere. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I think a consequence of this early convectively, active pattern will be a relax followed by a well timed vigorous return. I also haven't given up on winter. I still think the old man shows his face during one of the swings. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
One man's classic is another man's diarrhea. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
With such a large 30% area already highlighted 4 days out on a forecasted nagatively tilted system coming out of the Mississippi valley while we're already on a bit of a convective heater gets me all hot in the trousers. . That said, the severe outlooks being placed so far east and mediocre surface temps warrant some bust concerns. If this forecast were to verify the main thing I'll be watching on Monday is the proximity and time of convective initiation, low level lapse rates, and moisture return. If we can score some juicy overlapping, there and some of the other parameters hold true, it should be one hell of a day, not far from home. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Big potential Monday creeping into southeast and south central Pennsylvania with a negatively tilted system. ...DISCUSSION... Significant severe winds and the potential for a few tornadoes will develop on Monday over parts of the Carolinas and Mid Atlantic. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/# -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Not even a hail report with yesterday's supercell. That looked to be one of the most intense hail cores I've seen in these parts in a few years. I think the location of this storm during its peak played a big role in the lack of storm reports. It couldn't have taken a better path to absolutely affect nobody. I don't have the circle placed perfectly but it's very close. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/yesterday.html -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hell, you can even see the rfd in the first two pictures ,that's textbook. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You can clearly see in the fifth picture that that lowering is the mesocyclone, and not just a shelf cloud. If that thing couldn't get a tornado to the ground what can ? -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Steady ass rain here this morning with real shity f****** cold and wind's blowing at bullshit speed, with some sideways mist mixed in for extra penetration. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I thought maybe this would help some enjoy the step out the door this morning. I want extreme cold and wet,I need warm and dry, but when the hell do I get either. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The only power outages I could find up that way that we're listed was by pp&l, and I believe I counted 17. It doesn't mean that there wasn't touchdowns or severe weather,but it looks like it might have been pretty sporadic and not a swath. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Me too. My aunt lives up near him and is reporting some pretty extensive tree damage. She's in her eighties, so I didn't ask her to go out and take any pictures for her me. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Really amazing picture regardless. That's not to far from me. I wish I could have been that close. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Actually, the area I am talking about is in lemoyne not Camphill. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I mean, I could be wrong. But I believe that sign in the background specifically sells, diesel gas . If @Voyager can confirm this.I believe this photo was taken in CampHill, by the harrisburg hydroponic and the old Coca cola shipping facility, if they're even there any longer. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm also getting hammered here pretty good. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Absolutely beautiful pictureb but I live here in Lewisberry and I've never seen any of that stuff in my life. It looks like it could either be Middletown or maybe even in camp hill, near the hydroponic shop. I also couldn't see any of that from where i'm at I've been outside looking. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
True, hook just showed up, it's starting to turn right. It appears the warining box takes the right turn into account.
