Yardstickgozinya

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html

The cell over Mclure has been a monster for some time. Still waiting on YouTube video and link confirmation from someone.

I refreshed my live stream link above . Its just rain and frogs on my pool cover . Would someone be kind enough to let me know the link, video, and sound is working on here? I don't have a working computer at the moment to look at my stream.

I finally got myself in good position and everything working. And everybody was gone. I'm under an overhang down the down the road at the moment I'll probably fire back up in case I catch any hail.

https://www.youtube.com/live/ydEenO_UG5A?si=JKjNbfU132g1fkL_ If everything's working properly, this should be a link to my live stream. This is the first time i've ever done this . This is a test. I'm actually walking to a area where I hopefully can get some decent views to my west and north. I doready to pick me up. Anyways, if somebody would please stop by and let me know that everything's working properly, that would be fantastic. Walking through Fairview township at the moment feel free to stop by anytime. Thank you so much. I will be interacting very little if at all. , I have a lot of other things to pay attention to at the moment. Live stream should be up in just a minute or two

Most of the area has achieved 1000jkg under a weak cap. The more enhance mid and low level lapses rates have built and move noth and east noticeably since @MAG5035 posted them.

Got my live stream going fellas.I'm about to head out where I can see these storms. If I see anything good, I'll be putting up a link.

The storms are really getting underway out in western pennsylvania. Notice the lightning just slightly deviating south in the area that I noted supercell characteristics. That could be lightning displaced in the anvil, though. No shortage of cells out in western pennsylvania, starting to ark although i'm seeing a lot more cell mergers than splits. Pretty decent amount of lightning for this early in storm development.

The severe warned cell just east of orvistown is showing some supercell characteristics.

Thermo dynamic and kinematic profiles are finally growing throughout the area, better indices are also adventing into our area.

We have cellular initiation in western Pa.

Reminder for everyone to have their cameras ready to go, especially in west central pennsylvania. When these storms go up and they're young, they're going to look incredible. I think early on the discrete cells, will be quite low precipitators maybe even true lp at the getgo.

Great. I was getting a little paranoid that I unintentionally said something stupid, in one of my messages. I'm gonna try to catch a quick nap.Hopefully don't miss anything good. Watch for the early cells that split today. I'd imagine one or two of those left splitters are gonna be the big hail dispensers.

Haha. She's an angry b**** today no down about that.

Not sure how well this will time up, but anybody that's done, their research knows that this could have significant impact on the lightning if proton flux time's up properly. I don't understand the science enough to know the timing. But we coukd end up with an incredible lightning event tonight If things do time up properly.

YO@! @Jns2183 G3 (Strong) Geomagnetic Storming Observed 22 Mar 6 hours ago — G3 (Strong) geomagnetic storming was observed during the 0900-1200 UTC synoptic period on 22 Mar as what is likely high speed stream onset

Western and West central Pa. At this time seems to be the area of best increasing indices and overlap.. We still have work to do here in immediate cpa There's still plenty of time and as mentioned, the enhanced parameters are advecting east. At this moment in time I would have to say that west central and western pa, seem to be the place of best interest ,but that can certainly change as the day progresses.

Where has @Itstrainingtimebeen . It's been well over twenty four hours since he's made a post.

I was just looking at some of the meso scale parameters, myself, I was quite surprised to find thermo dynamic fields were still quite meager to non existent, at this hour, however some instability and a few other meso scale enhancements appear to be advecting into our area from the west as I write this . Kinematic fields are definitely starting to show some enhanced parameters.

A good chunk of Pa. has been Upgrade to enhanced, at first glance it doesn't appear that the tornado threat has increased, but both hail and wind threats ,have increased significantly . Both are at 30% probabilities ,level 1 hatching for all of cpa west of the Susquehanna river. Apparently, a level one 1 hatching indicates there could be hail over 2" in diameter and winds in excess of 74mph if Ai is feeding me information correctly. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

I would get your cameras ready today, fellas,some of cells are probably going to be quite photogenic compare to what we're used in our area. Especially early in their evolution. I wouldn't be surprised if there's a rare lp supercell or two in cpa today. Spc update last night mentiond two rounds of storms. Round one will be a cellular and probably will remain so for quite some time today with a line of storms possible tonight. Both rounds have potential for large hail. If we can get enough breaks in the sun today, destabilization could generously increase our tornado risk . We also have a week cap in place to help get that gun loaded. All in all today really seems the have a wide spectrum of potential . My guess is, there's going to be one or two epically, nasty cells track through central pennsylvania this afternoon with several other potentially strong to severe storms into the early night time hours. Watch your left cell splits for the big hail today and stay safe. Today, definitely could be our biggest severe day yet in our general area.

Nws forcast discussion only concerning today's thunderstorms. Full discussion.is in the link at the bottom. Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 348 AM EDT Sun Mar 22 2026 PAZ017>019-024>028-033>036-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-230800- Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon- Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Southern Clinton- Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Perry- Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 348 AM EDT Sun Mar 22 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Scattered severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater and large hail exceeding 1 inch in diameter are possible this afternoon and evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. HAS CHANGED... * Little change in Sunday`s severe thunderstorm potential, built out more details pertaining to timing and threats. * Added mentions of icing potential Monday morning with dropping temperatures and freezing rain/drizzle potential across the Poconos. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Severe thunderstorms possible this afternoon and evening across much of central Pennsylvania, highest chances south of the I-80 corridor. 2) Some icing potential Sunday night into Monday morning across portions of NE PA, slick spots possible for the Monday morning commute. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: Severe thunderstorms possible this afternoon and evening across much of central Pennsylvania, highest chances south of the I-80 corridor. Severe threat will be in play across much of central PA this afternoon and evening, with surface dewpoints across western Indiana surging towards the region. Recent HREF model guidance continues to indicate favorable probabilities (generally between 50-70%) for surface dewpoints reaching into the mid-to-upper 50s this afternoon for regions south of I-80. Bulk wind shear across the entire area by this time will also markedly increase which would support thunderstorm development to become organized enough to sustain themselves this afternoon/evening. There does remain some uncertainty with respect to CAPE with some recent hi-res model guidance indicating some breaks in the clouds across south-central Pennsylvania during the afternoon hours. If these solutions begin to pan out, this will allow for an uptick in instability, which would increase the severe threat. For reference, model solutions on the lower end of CAPE values top out between 500-600 J/kg while higher-end solutions of CAPE values exceed 1000 J/kg and push closer to the 1500 J/kg mark which would be much more sufficient for severe weather potential this afternoon. The spread is most pronounced across western portions of the forecast area, which is where model guidance is the most uncertain with respect to cloud cover later today. All of that being said, SPC has continued with the slight risk for severe thunderstorms this afternoon/evening for areas south of the I-80 corridor. Damaging wind threat continues to highlight areas mainly south of I-80 where there is there remains some higher potential for instability with ample shear in place. Fact cell movement will also give ample convective and kinematic energy to support the damaging wind threat this afternoon and into the evening. The hail threat across the southern half of Pennsylvania bears watching, with steep (7-7.5 C/km) 700-500mb lapse rates continuing to be signaled in recent hi-res model guidance. Large hail will be possible, as SPC outlines with their CIG1 hatching across the southern half of Pennsylvania. These hazards are expected to be focused in the 2PM to 9PM timeframe today, gradually spreading north-to-south throughout the afternoon and evening hours. In terms of the tornado threat across the region, there remains a non-zero threat across portions south of I-80. This threat is not as robust as the wind/hail threat. One of the main negatives with respect to the tornado threat read out in looking at model guidance for LCLs this afternoon. LCLs look to be relatively high with recent RAP model guidance indicating LCLs between 2000-3000m across the southern half of the region. The higher cloud bases will make it slightly harder (not impossible) to form, especially with low-level dry air in place. Lastly, flooding concerns given some locations have pushed slightly above one inch storm total rainfall amounts with more localized pockets of heavy rainfall. Highest rainfall signals appear across the southern tier, where recent Drought Monitor continues with D1-D2 drought. FFGs in this area would likely need to be exceeded in the one-hour timeframe, where we`re looking at slightly below one inch to exceed guidance. Given this, not foreseeing a lot of hydrological issues with this system especially given quick movement of storms. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=CTP&issuedby=CTP&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

Seeing that, I was handing out bro flowers to dudes I never met yesterday may constitute a reevaluation of my lonely years statement. I'm also realizing I just wasted a lot of time and space just to say you're d***** if you do, and you're d***** if you don't.

I really hope you can find some type of balance, and peace through it.. Not saying any of this should or or will be your fate, because you're already married . I often ponder, which one is worse. You could sit around over indulging in sadness with the wheels constantly turning, knowing that your most likely never going know what it's like to be married and going to die alone., and the only woman that truly ever loved you was your mother. Then, I ponder, what if you did get married and god forbid it ended up being your son's insane mother. I haven't got into the lonely years in life yet, but I have a feeling they're really going to suck. Hopefully this helps provide another perspective without making things any worse. As far as the the weather getting you down ,i'm fairly confident my advice would not be met with high regard.

Basically expanded to include most of the state. From what I gather, severe storms will be quite isolated , but carry the risk of large hail up to the size of golf balls. Spc added that they may need to add a elevated tornado risk to the outlook. Main bust threat is lack of moisture return. Thunderstorms are expected to expand in coverage for the late afternoon and evening, but are expected to be more elevated at that point. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html Hail sig hatching level 1 Tornado probability 2%