sankaty

From the latest BTV discussion: Overall, thermal profiles continue to support snow being very elevationally dependent with elevations below 2000 feet mainly rain through Sunday, ending with a light accumulation of snow Sunday night into Monday. Across the higher elevations though, snow remains the dominant ptype, very wet and heavy Saturday night through Sunday night, before decreasing in density on Monday. A first guess at storm total snowfall would support a winter weather advisory Sunday night through Monday across the western slopes of the Adirondacks and northern Greens for 3-6" of snow, while elevations above 2000 feet could see accumulations of 12-18" from Saturday night through Monday night.

Amidst the general gloom, the Sunday-Tuesday period could be a pretty special stretch if the models pan out. Some much needed high-density resurfacing snow followed by a pretty significant upslope event stretching pretty far down the spine.

My sense is the largest share of the AN temp departures have been driven by AN lows (but still below freezing) and a lack of arctic outbreaks. It's been just cold enough to snow and retain cover much of the winter in NNE (unlike most of SNE). Last winter was kinda similar. I've been splitting my time between CT and the Killington area the past few winters, and the VT time has soothed the winter loving soul. If I had been only in CT the past couple of seasons, I'd be losing my mind.

Any good links to track the current and forecasted states of the WPO/EPO? Thanks!

Great spring snow with pronounced undercast at Pico today as well. Upper mountain: Lower mountain:

Oh, one last thing about the terrain under the Sierra lift at Copper. There's a huge, popular jump called the "Bush Jump" right under the chair near the top. It's a fun place to rest nearby and watch the young people make questionable life choices.

With the major caveat that both resorts are so big that we barely scratched the surface (and we only had one day at a-basin), we found better trees at a-basin. That second photo is taken in the trees around the Beavers lift. They are spectacular and not to be missed. They get pretty steep in sections, but the trees are nicely spaced and the snow was perfect. Kinda reminded me of Anarchy at Killington but with slightly greater max steepness and ideal conditions. Yeager was my favorite in that section, but they're all good. If you go too far to skiers left in that area near Bighorn/TInker Toy, there's a somewhat sketchy runout you need to navigate, but that's probably also where powder turns last longest. Honestly, I could have skied all day just in the Beavers and been ecstatic. Also fun was the Zuma Bowl, though we didn't have much time to explore it. Just be careful; I almost got carried away in those trees and missed the base of the lift and skied down into the hike-back terrain. That would have sucked with sea-level lungs :). We didn't even get to the Palli lift, which seems crazy, but we loved Beavers so much and just ran out of time. We had more time to explore Copper and had better snow there. Also a little easier to find more accessible (i.e. less technical) advanced/expert terrain at Copper (a lot of the stuff at a-basin looked like I'd want a parachute). The above tree line terrain around the Sierra lift is so fun. We had great powder turns on Coleman's retreat and fun trees below Union Meadow. 17 Glade was also fun (get's pretty steep). There were many glades I didn't get a chance to try (between the Rendezvous and Storm King chairs, between Suber B and Alpine chairs, and all the stuff in Resolution bowl). Copper also has super fun blue mogul slopes (would easily be blacks in VT) including I-Dropper and lots of stuff around the Timberline chair. Timberline is a great place for mixed groups because it has lots of groomed stuff but also lots of fun, consequence-free bumps (Little Burn is a fun place to but on a show under the lift). Have fun! Looks like you'll have great snow! Powder under the Sierra lift: Consequence-free bumps near Timberline:

We were at Copper/A Basin last week. Skiing was fantastic.

I can speak to the Killington area. Snowmaking trains are fine and north-facing naturals are still in decent shape. The mid-winter cutters were mostly snow-to-rain deals that actually netted a positive snowpack and impregnated the base with a lot of water that froze into the coral reef. As long as there isn't unrelenting heat for March, there should be a decent amount of April terrain. At the very least, the Superstar glacier is deep and will last easily through April assuming nothing extraordinary happens. Heading up to Pico this weekend. I'll report back if I need to amend the above.

Is a miracle a long-wave phenomenon?

I've been seeing that the NWS teleconnections page has been showing a decreasing NAO and increasing PNA moving forward, but the models still want to constantly reload the western trough and pump up the eastern ridge. What long wave changes would we need to see in order for a more winterlike pattern to return to the east? https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.shtml

8" OTG in Middletown

Back to snow in Middletown. Doesn't look like it will last long.

Just flipped to sleet in Middletown. 1.5-2" before the changeover.

Any upslope potential on the backside of this storm? Trying to evaluate conditions for Sunday in the Killington area. Pico was sublime last Monday:

Sugarbush web cams showing snow at all elevations

Killington was phenomenal today. They are reporting 13", but it seemed like much more with knee deep drifts in the woods. 10" back in Reading, VT, with heavy snow coming down.

I'll be reporting from Reading, VT, and Killington. Seems like a decent spot for this storm.

Snow still hanging on in Reading, VT. Only about 2" new Hoping the Killington area can minimize nonfrozen precip overnight and cash in on upslope tomorrow

Do you like them? The price is right. Do they roll the Euro out around 1? Thanks!

Hi folks! I've been using F5 weather for Euro access, but they've switched to a cheaper subscription upstream that rolls the model out an hour later (starting at 2PM/AM). I would love to switch to a service that offers more timely access. Any recommendations? Trying to keep costs down (it's just for personal use). Weatherbell looks to be too expensive for me if I'm understanding their costs right ($28/month). F5 Weather is about $10/month. Don't mind spending a bit more, but not too much more. Thanks!

Light snow in Middletown

33F with about a half inch whitening the grassy areas down here in the CRT (Middletown). Snow just starting to accumulate on a few paved surfaces.

Headed up to the Killington area this weekend. The web cams have looked fantastic all morning. Radar looks good, too.

Thanks for the analysis! Though if the latest NAM is right, the Killington area (where I'm headed) won't need to rely on upslope. Hoping some more reliable models jump on.