Winterweatherlover
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Everything posted by Winterweatherlover
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Probably but lets see how it plays out.
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I'd say moderate white rain right now, better than what the RGEM had I guess.
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Multiple waves next week.
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Snow/sleet/rain mix.
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At first I read it as midtown and was like woah.
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GFS/NAM were too early with precip, RGEM was too late.
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Very light I think snow here?
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I expect all rain and I live just north of the city. Surprised to hear it started as snow in Brooklyn though so theres a tiny bit of hope for some flakes.
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Thats sorta hopeful, maybe we'll see a few hours of white rain.
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It's sure better model than this one, this is what it had for right now https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2023012512&fh=6&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=prateptype_cat-imp&m=gfs
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IMO Both sides can get frustrating, the cancel the whole month of February camp and the people who post the one model that shows snow when 9 other models show rain. Neither is particularly helpful to be repeated over and over again.
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What are the dewpoints? If already above freezing it’s definitely over.
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Late next week is our best chance. Not saying it will work out.
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I said if it’s not snowing by 1 pm the record at cpk is safe, we have 1:45 minutes to go.
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Ok it was wrong up there, seems right for the nyc metro area, it’s 11:00 am and partly sunny.
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I used to think you were a troll but you are usually right. I think the delivery upsets some people but you definitely are very knowledgeable about weather.
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Not southern Westchester.
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Like I said well know if we see snow by 1 pm. Every model that has snow seems to have precip in by 18z.
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I wish I could believe these models like the gfs and NAM. I really do but I can’t.
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I think the RGEM is too warm but if its right it has NYC already in the 40s when precip starts.
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It's possible, depends how far east the overrunning makes it.
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Definitely, if we had more cold and this storm track we'd just be getting a bunch of snow to ice to rain events, if we had this lack of cold and storms tracking offshore we'd be getting rain to heavy snow events.
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If NYC is going to get measurable snow it better be snowing by 1 pm tomorrow, if not no chance.
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It might be overdoing the warmth along the hudson but I'd expect it to be closer to reality than some of these other models. In all the recent storms I can remember it has done very well.
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Maybe it does well with inland storms and not as well with coastals? We wouldn't know since we haven't had any of the latter this winter.
