Winterweatherlover
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Everything posted by Winterweatherlover
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Who knows if measurement accurate but if we go with that number then they need about another 0.5 to avoid futility.
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A lot of parts of the city seem to be mixing. It’s really a big difference upper Manhattan/Bronx/North Shore LI in these marginal events.
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Yea hopefully the rain/snow line pushes back south a bit before the inevitable north push. Also hope it stays heavy for the next few hours.
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Heavy snow right now with wind really howling.
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Just started ripping snow again after the long lull.
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Canadian a little south for Friday, mainly sleet verbatim for NYC.
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Hasn't been too impressive here for the last hour plus after some very heavy snow earlier. Hope it picks back up again.
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The rain/snow line will push back south once the precip gets heavy again. Unless you are on the beaches you are going to be fine for several more hours.
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Going to overperform I think as long as next batch doesn’t bust. Temps colder than modeled.
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Once it dropped to 33 it went from white rain to whiteout, everything covered.
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Down to 33 and pouring snow.
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Gonna be big differences north shore vs south shore but that was always the case. North shore should get 3-5 inches easily especially if you are already 33.
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Sleet/snow mix not that worried though precip just started.
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Maybe but most of NYC/LI actually is a little higher latitude than Allentown and this event should be very latitude dependent.
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Honestly imo thats not great forecasting, focus on the models that you trust most, not every single model.
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Too low imo.
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Highly doubtful.
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Just because it doesn't workout doesn't mean it's not a good pattern. If we get the December pattern again in March and get a little luckier it could be real interesting. On the flip side a bad setup can also sometimes kind of work out like tonight.
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I get the sense you think this may still be less amplified that currently depicted?
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GFS just came in noticeably colder for Friday, nice front end thump. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_024h-imp&rh=2023022718&fh=114&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
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That;'s why i'm pretty optimistic. I don't see much issues away from maybe the absolute immediate coastline as long as precip is heavy. 33 at night will easily get it done.
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Cut that in half for NYC/LI and most people on here would still be fairly happy.
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Wetter but seems like a sharp cutoff for some of the borderline areas.
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Did pretty well last winter close to events. Haven’t checked it this winter, no need to.
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I mean I’ve seen this setup honestly go either way but right now lean it’ll be positive for NYC Metro. Good timing, good precip burst. Surface temps and mid level warming somewhat concerning but low dewpoints should wetbulb most to at least 33-34. If NAM depth chart is right would be a pretty major bust.
