Jump to content

Winterweatherlover

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,582

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Winterweatherlover

  1. Winterweatherlover
    Stony Brook is a great spot to be in for a setup like this.
  2. Winterweatherlover
    Sleet already in Brooklyn? NYC probably busting low unless rates increase fast.
  3. Winterweatherlover
    I know it's still early in the storm but agree leaning lower end of totals for the five boroughs and even lower Westchester. The banding upper westchester through LI seems to be creating a lot of subsidence.
  4. Winterweatherlover
    Very light snow in southern Yonkers.
  5. Winterweatherlover
    Must be subsidence due to banding north and south of there but agree one inch is ridiculous.
  6. Winterweatherlover
    This is the worst case scenario, it's unlikely but it's been right with warm tounges before. Honestly im more worried about mixing in the in NYC and even the LHV than eastern LI in this setup so the NAM scenario wouldnt entirely shock me.
  7. Winterweatherlover
    One factor in the citys favor here is it's cold before the storm and below freezing throughout the whole storm. I don't think CPK is getting 8 but its not a particularly bad setup for accumulation in the boroughs, the real question is rates and if and when it flips to sleet.
  8. Winterweatherlover
    True I meant from NYC and points north. Central NJ could have a brutal cutoff.
  9. Winterweatherlover
    This storm setup has always favored places like Eastern LI especially the north shore of Suffolk given the sleet line coming from the SW usually creeps a bit more NE than modeled.
  10. Winterweatherlover
    Oh definitely if we are talking 8+ I agree and I agree with your general line although possibly even a bit further NE of there. This just won't be a scenario where someone gets 8 and 50 miles away gets almost nothing.
  11. Winterweatherlover
    Not sure it'll be that sharp in this setup. I think everyone forum wide at least from NYC north is seeing 3+.
  12. Winterweatherlover
    I'd still go 3-6 for the city and 6-9 for all northern suburbs and north shore LI personally but it's a tricky forecast, upton seems to be discounting the Euro/NAM.
  13. Winterweatherlover
    When was the last time NYC had 4? hard to believe its been that long and wondering if they measuring right. I know its a bit different where I am at the top of the Bronx but have had at least 3 events in the last 3 years over 4 inches including one already this year.
  14. Winterweatherlover
    I can't guarantee 10 anywhere but they'll be a nice band somewhere and ratios should be very good with this one.
  15. Winterweatherlover
    Euro often too dry in these scenarios I think.
  16. Winterweatherlover
    Given the potential for up to 7 inches and the fact its snow to sleet rather than snow to rain I think decent chance upton keeps the warning for everyone. Even if it does flip to sleet with temps in the 20s thats still very much winter weather. As is the case in the majority of storms in the immediate metro it's nowcasting.
  17. Winterweatherlover
    I'm pretty sure parts of the HV and Interior CT will see 6-10 inches from this unless the sleet line races way faster than expected (NAM style).
  18. Winterweatherlover
    Not surprising at all but fortunately not much time for it to move too much more, NYC still seems to be on the southwest edge of the heavy snow axis. I can see sleet mixing in SI, Brooklyn but still think generally 3-6 across the city is a good call with 6-10 immediately north of the city/north shore of LI.
  19. Winterweatherlover
    Weren’t the long medium range models showing snow threats next week? Now 60s? What a joke these models are.
  20. Winterweatherlover
    I meant climo in terms of how it was distributed, NW to SE differences if that makes sense? Not saying everyone got anywhere near climo amount of snow.
  21. Winterweatherlover
    It makes sense because most of the snow in the interior came in December and March. If the March and December patterns had been January and February it might have been less pathetic…
  22. Winterweatherlover
    This winter was about as climo as you can get. Bad for most south of I90 but horrifically bad I95 and SE. The I84 corridor def cashed in big time in March and looks like got close to average.
  23. Winterweatherlover
    Yes then it would just be hammers all zones. Unfortunately haven’t had one of those that I can remember in a while.
  24. Winterweatherlover
    Depends where. There were some lower elevations east side of Hudson River that got like a foot I think.
  25. Winterweatherlover
    Yea I’m basing it on actual observation. I live on border of Bronx/Westchester and drove between here and I287 there was nothing. I’m sure it’s possible somewhere got a trace but definitely not a few inches.
×
×
  • Create New...