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Itryatgolf70

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Everything posted by Itryatgolf70

  1. Itryatgolf70
    Larry, like I mentioned a few days ago, the tropicaltidbits sst anomalies chart for the regions give the best interpretation of the current sst based every six hours. If I was the CPC, I would seriously give those some consideration. Those are not even remotely close to 2.0 in any region.
  2. Itryatgolf70
    I don't expect a cold winter. Not many people do. I'm hoping we can get enough cold and precipitation to allow for a winter event at some point this winter. I always stay optimistic that it will somehow be colder but only time will tell.
  3. Itryatgolf70
    If we can get a -nao west based, the ensembles have been showing it and perhaps the op runs will soon. December would be a big time bonus to have even a remote chance at winter weather here imo
  4. Itryatgolf70
    Tropical tidbits sst anomalies chart imo gives the best most accurate depiction of ssts based on the region because it's updated every six hours.
  5. Itryatgolf70
    Providing there is enough cold air to work with. Always tricky in our area
  6. Itryatgolf70
    I've been reading in the other forums is that the consensus is around the holidays would be our next best opportunity at colder and maybe stormier weather. That's over a month away. Sometimes patterns repeat themselves. Don't guarantee anything. I personally don't like niños over moderate intensity but imo of course. Also, icestorms are significantly reduced in niños, which is good. Mainly bowling ball or ULL are favored if enough cold air is there.
  7. Itryatgolf70
    Get the euro on board, then it's more believable.
  8. Itryatgolf70
    Wishing yall the best buddy!!
  9. Itryatgolf70
    Cmc is better than it used to be. It would always overhype qpf and temp. It was good with out sleet/ice event last Feb here. It was actually the first to pick it up. I'm hoping we all have at least one opportunity this late fall or winter
  10. Itryatgolf70
    If there is enough -pna, should allow for overrunning for some but models won't pick it up until later
  11. Itryatgolf70
    We could use the rain in my area also as it's been pretty dry around here
  12. Itryatgolf70
    They were talking about it in the New England section earlier on 12zgefs and eps
  13. Itryatgolf70
    I lived in Southaven ms back then but now I'm in jackson tn. Two weeks back to back with events and that was it
  14. Itryatgolf70
    I agree. Most of it imo is about attention. Just like YouTube people post multiple videos about random stuff and all they care about or most care about is subscribers and likes. Some really don't know what the heck they are even talking about lol
  15. Itryatgolf70
    Only way to look at is that we don't have alot of opportunities even in great winters because we are in the south. 09-10 only got two events, which I was wanting 4-5 lol
  16. Itryatgolf70
    Hopefully we don't go down 94-95 pathway anytime soon. Another warm winter
  17. Itryatgolf70
    I believe more moving parts this year than most to sort out. I definitely appreciate the people that take the time to create a winter outlook. They definitely aren't easy with so many moving parts. Like most on here, we hope for a colder outcome ultimately instead of the kicking the can down the road analogy lol
  18. Itryatgolf70
    If a look shows up consistently on the eps, then it's alot more believable imo
  19. Itryatgolf70
    Last December we wasn't cold due to trough in sw even with -nao. Most people at first were excited but as the "hookup" with se ridge, it quickly became apparent we wasn't going to be cold. Can you imagine how warm it could have been with a +nao?
  20. Itryatgolf70
    Maybe lol
  21. Itryatgolf70
    What happened to Wes junker, aka usedtobe? Didn't he work for capital weather gang? He used to post here alot back in the day and was pretty good also
  22. Itryatgolf70
    If won't matter if the epo/wpo are negative in that time frame
  23. Itryatgolf70
    Guess he is going with the -AAM atmosphere and typically December's can sometimes be cold in those.
  24. Itryatgolf70
    Are those cold signals for us if he is correct or warm?
  25. Itryatgolf70
    Guess we hope the PDO doesn't couple then
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