
Itryatgolf70
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Everything posted by Itryatgolf70
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
What's interesting is when it snowed, it quickly changed to rain, despite it getting colder here. Very interesting. Bamwx posted an image showing northern plains already 23 degrees above average and we are 10 degrees.- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Maybe that's a good sign for cold weather here lol- 750 replies
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Winter 23-24' Wx Observations Thread
Itryatgolf70 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I could take about 8 to 10 hrs of non stop silver dollars lol Snowing harder than chicken lips here in north jackson!! Half inch already. Very big flakes -
Winter 23-24' Wx Observations Thread
Itryatgolf70 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Snowing harder than chicken lips here in north jackson!! Half inch already. Very big flakes -
February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
This look makes sense if we get a SSW and get things lined up!- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
The SSW event is underway now. Be interesting to see if we get cold here by beginning of March. I'm surprised the models are warm in the extended, especially the ensembles. Unless mjo is going into warm phases again.- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
For the time being, the tpv over southern Canada keeps me intrigued. In all seriousness, models should be colder than indicated. Also, Raindance saying beginning of March should resemble mid Jan with a cold blast. Doubt it, but anything is possible.- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Also, the -pdo hurt us alot, which isn't typical in a niño. Very interesting pattern. I'm still hoping we can get enough cold and moisture for one more opportunity here. ULL can provide alot of snow. If the tpv is the real deal, models should adjust accordingly and we got a -epo, which should also allow for a colder pattern than what's indicated imo.- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's interesting that the euro is really the only model showing it that cold. If the tpv really goes to southern Canada, the models, imo, should be much colder. Maybe they will catch on. That Raindance guy is good from what I understand but he gets the bighead sometimes. I would take a cold March if we can get a ULL out of it that supports snow- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hello Nrgjeff. Any chance it fires up in the phase 1 and circles through IO and then the warm phases? That would be colder for a while lol- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
If the mjo still isn't moving, that would explain the not so cold pattern advertised. Strong niños are difficult to get winter weather but can and have happened.- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm glad we got an event in January otherwise we probably would have been shut out lol. Kinda surprised that February is going to be warmer than normal considering most niños are backloaded I thought- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
We had a heck of a winter storm March 2015! Best winter storm I've seen yet.- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
We are due for sure!- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I definitely don't want dry cold lol. Hopefully we will get cold and moisture to combine for us for another opportunity. If the mjo is really advancing, the ensembles and weeklies will move up in time. Something to watch imo- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Carver, don't want no mo kicking can stuff lol. Imo, if mjo moves quickly or refires, ensembles will adjust very fast!!- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
The 2m temps still looked warm, especially the gefs. Hopefully that changes. John homenuk still seems interested lol- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Think u meant 12zgfs lol- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm hoping we will have a few opportunities at winter weather here if we get that configuration.- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
The end of eps looks ok but I imagine the 2m or 850s are still too warm. Hoping that changes like Daniel Boone said with mjo maybe getting to colder phases.- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Perfect for this area. Quote The million dollar question is what is slowing the mjo? How will it be able to advance to the colder phases? I bring up the kicking can scenario because that's all we have to work with currently. Typically niños are backloaded but perhaps this one will not be. I believe it will get cold again, but probably later than most people believe or thought imo- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Okay. I thought they came out every day now. My apologies- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Anybody have the euro weeklies from today? Didn't see it posted.- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
If ensembles are the way to go, then that's when i will get on the bandwagon, if you will, for a potential change to colder whenever that is lol- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
Itryatgolf70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Imo, if it keeps getting delayed, it just may not happen for reasons why I'm not a meteorologist lol. I do agree that maybe not the only way but the most important way for us to get cold is when the mjo gets to the cold phases.- 750 replies
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