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Itryatgolf70

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Everything posted by Itryatgolf70

  1. Itryatgolf70
    Carver, if the mjo is legit, the models should reflect that type scenario panning out sooner or later. It may not happen, but would like to see another -epo develop
  2. Itryatgolf70
    Jax, are those cfs charts typically pretty accurate from your experience? Just wondering. I'm hoping the mjo gets in favorable phases for cold and storminess for us eventually this winter
  3. Itryatgolf70
    I think we need to take a break until mid January, and at that point if things look bad, may be time to waive the white flag lol. Hopefully we have a few more opportunities at cold and snow here at some point this winter.
  4. Itryatgolf70
    The good news is that the chances of seeing anything remotely close to last weekend is slim to none for probably another 20-30 years. We just want cold enough for winter weather around here. Hate to waste the coldest month out of the year
  5. Itryatgolf70
    13-14 winter was also epo/wpo driven. Incredible winter for us imo. You want the pacific on your side in terms of cold.
  6. Itryatgolf70
    Imo, if we can get another -epo/wpo combo and or develop another -nao coupled with a stj that's active, we will be in good shape. We really haven't had an active stj while it's been cold yet
  7. Itryatgolf70
    Hopefully we will have another opportunity at a -nao that will be in a better position for us. I know at one time HM has been hinting at that potential
  8. Itryatgolf70
    The nao did help some, but we didn't get the real benefits from it, especially since it was so strong and west based. This December, the trough was too much on the west cost instead of off the west coast. We got crazy cold from the -EPO and WPO. Hopefully the SSW event materializes for us but they can be tricky as well know
  9. Itryatgolf70
    Carver, you actually want that HB bock. That is typically a good position for it unless it connects to something we don't want kinda like the -nao connecting to the se ridge when it did at times. We unfortunately didn't get the good benefits out of the -nao being so strong and even west based
  10. Itryatgolf70
    Carver, take a look at Dr. Jason Furtado post about what could lie ahead on Twitter when you get a chance. See if you can make any sense out of it.
  11. Itryatgolf70
    Just a pattern that's good enough for cold and storminess and hopefully not over bearing cold like we just went through. Overrunning events are my favorite providing enough cold is present
  12. Itryatgolf70
    You definitely want the eps to be right imo but so far out there in lala land
  13. Itryatgolf70
    So much energy flying around
  14. Itryatgolf70
    Providing their is enough cold air
  15. Itryatgolf70
    Typically every winter we have warming that tries to weaken the spv, but with no avail. Reversing the winds is the only way to get a real SSW from what I understand. Hopefully that takes place and we get cold and stormy. Still think mid January is good time frame but kicking can scenario will delay it
  16. Itryatgolf70
    To get a real ssw event, winds have to reverse from westerly to easterly and if don't happen, it's not one but can have stretching of pv.
  17. Itryatgolf70
    Merry Christmas to you buddy. I have head talk about a possible SSW event, but that's still far away. Hopefully one does pan out brings us a colder stormier pattern eventually this winter
  18. Itryatgolf70
    Carver, a -epo is what we want and wpo. Those are the kings of cold like we are finding out now. I believe mid January before our next time frame for maybe getting cold again but take that with a grain of salt. The -nao didn't work because trough was too far inland instead of being out in pacific.
  19. Itryatgolf70
    Jax, I think it was from the Typhoon in that area increasing the soi, but I ain't no weatherman. It's over my pay grade lol.
  20. Itryatgolf70
    Carver, is it hard to tell where the mjo is? Those rmm charts are sometimes misreading in the actual location. Hopefully we have a few more opportunities at winter weather before winter is over.
  21. Itryatgolf70
    In jackson moderate snow windy blowing about 30 mph and 20 degrees. Looks like a blizzard for sure
  22. Itryatgolf70
    Reason why is because of a cyclone in that area I believe
  23. Itryatgolf70
    I agree. It's just tough in the south to get it all to come together. We evacuated Siberia so we will have to reload it if we can. I really thought with the -nao we would have gotten a southern slider but unfortunately it didn't work out. I take an icestorm at this point, as long as it's not too bad lol
  24. Itryatgolf70
    Carver, I'm thinking mid January for our next opportunity imo. It's tough to tell what may happen this far out. Just enough cold air and moisture will be good enough
  25. Itryatgolf70
    I guess we unloaded all the cold out of Siberia and it all headed our way lol. Hopefully we get a better pattern mid January and not waste it all on warm weather. I want a few real winter storms in our area or at least something to track.
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