AtlanticWx
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Everything posted by AtlanticWx
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think it'll pivot but mostly for northern areas so
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Inch+ rates in the last hour here because we've already made it to an inch. Dumping snow outside too rn
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1" already in Germantown at 4:08. Really high ratio snow rn tbh
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is it just me or is dry air building in faster than modeled? or is this not a concern (current radar vs the two model depictions for 4 am)
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i think the key development here is the inverted trough starting to point into the DC area. i feel like we might get surprised tomorrow past the thump
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What's CSI?
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honestly the way this system has been continously uptrending and the radar looks juiced up compared to models, i would opt for a warning. i think snow sticking all over the roads and causing a mess is pretty likely tomorrow, and the way i see it it's much smarter to go for a warning and be safer than sorrier and risk a pile up
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yea schools closing was a must, but the roads here don't look salted and even if they are it'll be largely ineffective with how cold it is imo. roads were already horrible for 1/16, can't imagine that they could be even worse given the higher rates coupled w the fact that it lines up with peak commute time.
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I'm honestly really worried about tomorrow's commuting situation. HRRR has 0.5-0.8" per hour rates from 5-8 am which is the peak commute time and right now, I feel like the situation of this event is being underplayed with only an advisory for 1-3" and isolated 5". This gives me 1/6/15 vibes in terms of the chaos commute-wise we could see tmr tbh
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holy SHIT
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measurements between 5.2-5.5" somehow in germantown? did not expect this whatsoever lmfao
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0.3" in germantown! don't know how we did it but we did
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
AtlanticWx replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
why were we freaking out ab the NAM again? it's the only model that shows ice here. the only model out of dozens -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
AtlanticWx replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
6z euro has a more consolidated southern vort, and the piece of the TPV that eventually phases with it looks to be digging more. imo, it'd go north & stronger which is good -
26.8, holding steady for the past 30 minutes. my low was supposed to be like 29 lmao
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i wonder how well this is gonna age in a few weeks lmao
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24.6/20.8 in germantown right now. the pws near me has to be running cold
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how is it not? you have a strong high north of us damming cold air into the mountains here. this is pretty clearly a CAD signature
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25.7/21.0 rn. my predicted low tonight was like 29-30° lmao
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all the models im looking at are underdoing the cold at surface level pretty wildly, wouldn't be shocked if we get more wintry weather than we expected tomorrow (not exclusively snow, just like sleet and stuff)
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running 4° below NAM 3K's low too fwiw, cad is def doing its thing tn
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currently below HRRR's forecasted low for tonight at 29° by about 2 degrees. temperatures are definitely colder than modeled
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isn't it 00z though?
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i do wonder if it got sampled, the confluence is over an area that isn't like data dead anymore regardless, hopefully we see these changes continue! wishing for a colder outcome for everyone
