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AtlanticWx

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Everything posted by AtlanticWx

  1. gfs vs euro/cmc/icon, gfs always wins in these battles ofc!
  2. honestly we can't get worse than this. let's break some records while we're at it for latest measurable snow at dulles and least snowiest winter at dulles! i'm sure we can do atl the first
  3. based on the recent models i think we're starting to see a slow wobble back north with more widespread precip. let's hope this continues into tomorrow bc then the metro could really get in on some rush hour heavy snow
  4. given that we js need more qpf to snow better, idk if it's just me but i always feel like moisture overperforms and models always underdo moisture
  5. imo it's better to get one bad suite now before the day of. usually it means we can only improve from here on out
  6. yeah tho the issue this run was just everything being weak tbh
  7. gefs still gets the job done for a 50/50 low but just be wary that there’s still time and ways we can lose a 50/50
  8. 00z gefs has more stream separation. N/S digs more but is faster so there’s less interaction. Might still phase enough for a 50/50 low but
  9. hoping euro and eps stay put tonight, the changes on 18z eps weren’t as good for our storm w/ less stream interaction for phasing w the 50/50 low
  10. yeah and honestly the probs actually slightly increased
  11. pressure map has less cutters which is weird
  12. better phasing this run for a proper 50/50 low
  13. so really, we're probably gonna know how this storm pans out with the energy around the 12th given its our table setter
  14. replace euro with cmc and spot on for what happened today
  15. just for fun, please don’t believe this !!
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