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AtlanticWx

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Everything posted by AtlanticWx

  1. AtlanticWx
    question on this actually. is it better to keep my measurements precise until the very end to round it up? bc if i keep rounding it up intermittently, then don't i risk overinflating totals?
  2. AtlanticWx
    3.15" in Germantown.
  3. AtlanticWx
    yeah it's really coming down now. was getting like 0.6-0.7"/hr before even with the needles, so whatever this drops is going to be insane
  4. AtlanticWx
    can confirm rates are getting heavier in gtown. but are you sure you're only seeing that much in ashburn? areas all around you have like 2-3"
  5. AtlanticWx
    2.2" in S Germantown as of 3 AM (!!). was not expecting to get this much this early
  6. AtlanticWx
    maybe i'm reading into this too much, but i think that gulf feed looks a lot better than modeled. dry slot seems more pronounced & that line of storms is def stronger. i think this storm is about to bang
  7. AtlanticWx
    it actually did trend north for those in the dc beltway though. lwx forecast had moco, ffx, hoco and dc getting like 6-8" and we made out with 12".
  8. AtlanticWx
    rgem goes south with 10" in richmond. what is up with this model lol
  9. AtlanticWx
    jan 12 2019 gives me the closest vibes to this. diff setup though, lowkey better rates overall but a worse coastal
  10. AtlanticWx
    honestly i really like this look for those in the immediate dc suburbs. being to the north of the max snow with a system like this that is ripping with WAA is exactly how you overperform. being on the southern edge is much more nailbiting than being on the northern edge, esp with higher ratios. it's giving jan 19 2024 last year, but with a decently higher ceiling
  11. AtlanticWx
    really nailbiting part of tracking come up. i feel like all models evolve roughly the same with that NS over the great lakes, but gfs having a slower storm allows it to buckle in while it's suppressive on models like the euro. all comes down to the way it amplifies over plains
  12. AtlanticWx
    1.3" here in Germantown. Confirmed with another spotter who lives next to me too. Highest rates I've seen in a while, it was like flakes coming down everywhere like whiteout conditions and whenever I'd step away I'd turn around and my footprints were covered
  13. AtlanticWx
    i think why a lot of people in the forum would be scared is because even though that shows a foot, a slightly warmer warm nose (as is the case for these types of storms) would absolutely cook everyone here. though, idt the southern cutoff is really that sharp.
  14. AtlanticWx
    Hol Holy SHIT. all but like 0.2-0.5" is from Jan 6
  15. AtlanticWx
    i think it's less impressive because most of all it cuts back the extra precip associated w the piece near the back edge which lines up with obs. but i just honestly doubt that it'll be that low because rates look impressive compared to NAM 3K which only gets to 1"/hr rates at best
  16. AtlanticWx
    i remember HRRR kept drying up and down trending run after run prior to 1/7/22 which isn't that far off from the storm we're supposed to get tonight since it was a quick hitter w great dynamics ended up with 6" of snow despite HRRR telling me i was gonna get 1-2" right before
  17. AtlanticWx
    37.2° right now, definitely running a bit cold. NAM 3K had us hitting 37-38° at 12 am
  18. AtlanticWx
    41° right now exactly. following models to a tee w temps rn
  19. AtlanticWx
    i can't wait to see the papers analyzing this model fuck-up
  20. AtlanticWx
    js out of curiosity are we not worried that nearly all of the gefs members having a storm for 2/24 have a predominant rain storm?
  21. AtlanticWx
    me too, i loved that stretch of winter. it was so nice going on snow walks and taking it all in. if it ended there and then, i would've been happy with this winter
  22. AtlanticWx
    personally i wouldn't want to have to shovel every few days and have schools closed for ~4 days like we had that one wintry week in january every week but that's just me!
  23. AtlanticWx
    i guarantee you most people in here would be tired if we got 8 weeks of conditions like we had that one week in january. nobody is that much of a winter weenie lmao
  24. AtlanticWx
    we don't live in alaska i don't know why anyone would expect or even want 8 weeks of wall to wall wintry conditions
  25. AtlanticWx
    that week in january was objectively the best looking at the AWSSI values at the three airports from the past 7 years and even for all time it ranked within the top 1-2% of weeks winter-wise if people are complaining about a week like that then maybe u shld move somewhere else cuz ur expectations are way too high
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