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AtlanticWx

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Everything posted by AtlanticWx

  1. AtlanticWx
    do we really want this trend this early?
  2. AtlanticWx
    fwiw canadian ensembles bullseye SOMD, so i wouldn't be worried ab canadian
  3. AtlanticWx
    12/9/18 on the GFS all over again!
  4. AtlanticWx
    love cancelling a threat 7 days out!
  5. AtlanticWx
    oops sorry for the spoiler
  6. AtlanticWx
    Euro!!
  7. AtlanticWx
    eric webb saying the flow is too fast for anything
  8. AtlanticWx
  9. AtlanticWx
    we've said that about 3 headfakes so far, 12/16, 12/22-23 and 1/16 all of which never happened. the big ones are sniffed out, just big rainstorms!
  10. AtlanticWx
    happening
  11. AtlanticWx
    looking like gfs trying to cook up another snowstorm what's w 18z runs
  12. AtlanticWx
    is this a CAD event?
  13. AtlanticWx
    where do we want it?
  14. AtlanticWx
    literally all from that overrunning signal in this time frame, damn
  15. AtlanticWx
    actually, this pattern looks like a pattern that looks bad but could actually work. there's a very good cold source j north of us and even tho 500mb heights show a fairly weak SER 850mb temp anomalies and 2m temp anomalies are both BN being on the thermal gradient should help us w/ overrunning storms too, we'll see. not a bad pattern in the peak of climo
  16. AtlanticWx
    we don't even need that much of a tick east for the good stuff
  17. AtlanticWx
    did it improve?
  18. AtlanticWx
    there's still hope, albeit not much — all ensembles agree on a cool down after the 27th storm before a transient warm up before the TPV dips down come feb 1st, and ensembles + ops have been consistent on some sort of threat the first few days of feb
  19. AtlanticWx
    it has rlly nice plots but using it on phone is a nightmare
  20. AtlanticWx
    Way colder 850s this run
  21. AtlanticWx
    let's see what euro says, EPS made good steps
  22. AtlanticWx
    imo we're starting to see not horrible trends. seems like precip breaks off from the low and works its way upwards so if a high trends stronger perhaps we sneak our way into measurable snow
  23. AtlanticWx
    if the 540 line were over us it'd probably be crushing NC
  24. AtlanticWx
    yeah the advertised pattern is basically just a hyped up backside of a trough now since the ridge starts pumping as it leaves
  25. AtlanticWx
    the 29th/30th has the highest potential out of all of them bc it could phase w a literal TPV as advertised by a few op runs
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