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AtlanticWx

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Everything posted by AtlanticWx

  1. AtlanticWx
    yep!
  2. AtlanticWx
    gefs is still going at hr 204 lmao, if there's a threat that has an amazing longwave pattern and could be long duration, it could be this one. @brooklynwx99 props to u for spotting this out and staying consistent on it when no one was
  3. AtlanticWx
    amazing look at this range!
  4. AtlanticWx
    i already know this run is gonna go crazy. textbook look
  5. AtlanticWx
    no that's good - we want a more west based block
  6. AtlanticWx
    i think what we want is for it to dig. 12z -> 00z eps shifted to be slower and more amped w the incoming wave but 00z was more SE, probably because of digging?
  7. AtlanticWx
    there's no trend? it's been going back and forth for a few runs now
  8. AtlanticWx
    6z gfs would be a dream
  9. AtlanticWx
    all models have the storm now and ensembles have 2"+ for this storm only
  10. AtlanticWx
    that's all from the march 12th signal? it's a 5 day snow map from march 12th before so march 7-march 12 but we never get any snow on the gefs still march 10-12
  11. AtlanticWx
    gefs mean fwiw, kinda an impressive signal rn
  12. AtlanticWx
    gfs is close for the first wave just phases too late. would 100% take it at this time, lfg!
  13. AtlanticWx
    given that we just need it to dig more and go further south, im not rlly worried at this juncture. when both the optimistic and the rarely optimistic people are excited, i think it's when we know we could get something big
  14. AtlanticWx
    analogs are important too, and 1960 being at the top of these analogs is encouraging
  15. AtlanticWx
    meteorology > taking what models say verbatim
  16. AtlanticWx
    my primary worry is a cold/dry pattern but i'm not sure if that worry is valid or not cause i haven't looked at ensembles much lately
  17. AtlanticWx
    looks like it's caving, even pops a +PNA now
  18. AtlanticWx
    a 9" snowstorm in march sucks!
  19. AtlanticWx
    hard to go off of persistence when we have a different pattern on our hands. honestly, there are some p stark similarities to march 2018 which i know scares a lot of people here but it's something we should take happily (a -NAO, post SSW, 50/50 low and troughing off the EC, troughing off the west coast and central ridging as a result) i'd be worried about suppression in this pattern though given the low heights and the nature of a ridge pretty east but we'll see, definitely gonna take this look tho
  20. AtlanticWx
    true but 3" of snow is 11 days out is a pretty remarkable siganl
  21. AtlanticWx
    awesome signal ~10-11 days out
  22. AtlanticWx
    pretty awesome longwave pattern but the questions is if we can get something during that timeframe now
  23. AtlanticWx
    ukmet just ran and it should indicate how euros gonna go but i'm too tired to interpret it, someone else could take a shot tho
  24. AtlanticWx
    i mean the actual storm was colder and souther, we get less snow bc the initial precip is lacking but that's virtually it
  25. AtlanticWx
    if it's any hope 18z eps as a whole did tick se so if euro gets on board that'd be awesome but i'd guess not after the fools cmc/icon runs this morning
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